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Sports Handicapping

Raymond Report NBA Games Analysis & Predictions – November 27

by |Published

Here is the NBA game analysis for November 27, including SU, ATS, and O/U records for each team. Offensive and defensive trends from the last three games compared to season averages are also incorporated, along with the game lines.

NBA Games Analysis – November 27

Atlanta Hawks (240) vs. Cleveland Cavaliers (-10)

  • Records:
    • Atlanta (Road): 3-6 SU, 4-5 ATS, 6-3 O/U.
    • Cleveland (Home): 10-0 SU, 6-4 ATS, 6-3-1 O/U.
  • Offensive/Defensive Trends:
    • Atlanta:
      • Season Offense: 115.6 points per game.
      • Last 3 Games: Increased to 119.0 points per game, on an offensive streak.
      • Season Defense: 121.0 points allowed per game.
      • Last 3 Games: Worsened to 125.3 points allowed per game, indicating a defensive slump.
    • Cleveland:
      • Season Offense: 123.4 points per game.
      • Last 3 Games: Elevated to 127.8 points per game, on an offensive streak.
      • Season Defense: 111.0 points allowed per game.
      • Last 3 Games: Worsened slightly to 113.6 points allowed per game.
  • Analysis: Both teams are trending offensively, with Cleveland maintaining their dominant home form. Atlanta’s defensive struggles on the road make it difficult to trust them ATS.
  • Value: Over 240 (-108) offers value in a game likely to be a high-scoring shootout. Cleveland -10 (-106) is also worth considering, given Atlanta’s defensive issues.

Portland Trail Blazers (233) vs. Indiana Pacers (-10.5)

  • Records:
    • Portland (Road): 3-7 SU, 4-6 ATS, 2-8 O/U.
    • Indiana (Home): 6-2 SU, 5-3 ATS, 5-2-1 O/U.
  • Offensive/Defensive Trends:
    • Portland:
      • Season Offense: 105.1 points per game.
      • Last 3 Games: Dropped to 100.6 points per game, in an offensive slump.
      • Season Defense: 113.5 points allowed per game.
      • Last 3 Games: Worsened to 118.2 points allowed per game.
    • Indiana:
      • Season Offense: 114.4 points per game.
      • Last 3 Games: Increased to 117.8 points per game, on an offensive streak.
      • Season Defense: 117.6 points allowed per game.
      • Last 3 Games: Increased to 120.4 points allowed per game, indicating a defensive slump.
  • Analysis: Indiana’s potent offense against a defensively struggling Portland team makes the Pacers a strong favorite. The high total reflects the likelihood of a fast-paced game.
  • Value: Over 233 (-108) is the best play. Indiana -10.5 (-108) is also viable, as Portland’s offense has been poor on the road.

Houston Rockets (219) vs. Philadelphia 76ers (-5)

  • Records:
    • Houston (Road): 5-3 SU, 5-3 ATS, 3-5 O/U.
    • Philadelphia (Home): 2-6 SU, 2-6 ATS, 4-4 O/U.
  • Offensive/Defensive Trends:
    • Houston:
      • Season Offense: 113.9 points per game.
      • Last 3 Games: Consistent at 112.2 points per game.
      • Season Defense: 105.4 points allowed per game.
      • Last 3 Games: Improved to 103.4 points allowed per game, on a defensive streak.
    • Philadelphia:
      • Season Offense: 104.1 points per game.
      • Last 3 Games: Dropped to 99.6 points per game, in an offensive slump.
      • Season Defense: 112.5 points allowed per game.
      • Last 3 Games: Improved slightly to 108.8 points allowed per game.
  • Analysis: Houston’s defensive streak gives them the edge against a Philadelphia team struggling offensively. The Rockets’ consistency makes the spread attractive.
  • Value: Houston +5 (-108) is the best pick. Consider Under 219 (-108) as both teams are trending defensively.

Chicago Bulls (224) vs. Orlando Magic (-10)

  • Records:
    • Chicago (Road): 6-5 SU, 6-5 ATS, 8-3 O/U.
    • Orlando (Home): 8-0 SU, 6-2 ATS, 3-5 O/U.
  • Offensive/Defensive Trends:
    • Chicago:
      • Season Offense: 117.8 points per game.
      • Last 3 Games: Increased to 124.4 points per game, on an offensive streak.
      • Season Defense: 123.0 points allowed per game.
      • Last 3 Games: Increased to 126.7 points allowed per game, in a defensive slump.
    • Orlando:
      • Season Offense: 106.3 points per game.
      • Last 3 Games: Improved slightly to 108.0 points per game.
      • Season Defense: 102.1 points allowed per game.
      • Last 3 Games: Maintained at 101.2 points allowed per game.
  • Analysis: Orlando’s defense at home has been elite, while Chicago’s high-scoring but defensively poor games trend towards overs.
  • Value: Over 224 (-108) is worth considering. Chicago +10 (-108) provides value as they may keep it close with their offense.

Los Angeles Clippers (-10.5) vs. Washington Wizards (223)

  • Records:
    • Clippers (Road): 4-4 SU, 5-3 ATS, 4-3-1 O/U.
    • Washington (Home): 1-7 SU, 2-6 ATS, 3-5 O/U.
  • Offensive/Defensive Trends:
    • Clippers:
      • Season Offense: 108.6 points per game.
      • Last 3 Games: Dropped to 105.8 points per game, in an offensive slump.
      • Season Defense: 107.5 points allowed per game.
      • Last 3 Games: Improved to 101.0 points allowed per game, on a defensive streak.
    • Washington:
      • Season Offense: 108.5 points per game.
      • Last 3 Games: Dropped to 103.4 points per game, in an offensive slump.
      • Season Defense: 123.2 points allowed per game.
      • Last 3 Games: Worsened to 126.7 points allowed per game, in a defensive slump.
  • Analysis: Both teams are struggling offensively, but Washington’s defense is non-existent. The Clippers are the better choice ATS.
  • Value: Clippers -10.5 (-109) is the safer play. Under 223 (-108) is worth a look given both teams’ offensive slumps.

Miami Heat (-3.5) vs. Charlotte Hornets (218)

  • Records:
    • Miami (Road): 4-4 SU, 5-3 ATS, 4-3-1 O/U.
    • Charlotte (Home): 5-4 SU, 5-4 ATS, 3-6 O/U.
  • Offensive/Defensive Trends:
    • Miami:
      • Season Offense: 111.2 points per game.
      • Last 3 Games: Slight increase to 113.2 points per game.
      • Season Defense: 110.3 points allowed per game.
      • Last 3 Games: Improved to 108.6 points allowed per game.
    • Charlotte:
      • Season Offense: 109.1 points per game.
      • Last 3 Games: Increased to 111.0 points per game, on an offensive streak.
      • Season Defense: 114.0 points allowed per game.
      • Last 3 Games: Worsened to **117.0 points

allowed per game**, in a defensive slump.

  • Analysis: Miami’s stronger defensive streak and Charlotte’s defensive issues make the Heat a good play here.
  • Value: Miami -3.5 (-108) is the recommended pick. Under 218 (-108) also aligns with Miami’s defensive tendencies.

New York Knicks (235) vs. Dallas Mavericks (-4)

  • Records:
    • New York (Road): 5-5 SU, 5-5 ATS, 7-3 O/U.
    • Dallas (Home): 6-3 SU, 5-4 ATS, 3-6 O/U.
  • Offensive/Defensive Trends:
    • New York:
      • Season Offense: 119.1 points per game.
      • Last 3 Games: Increased to 127.4 points per game, on an offensive streak.
      • Season Defense: 112.7 points allowed per game.
      • Last 3 Games: Worsened to 117.3 points allowed per game.
    • Dallas:
      • Season Offense: 116.9 points per game.
      • Last 3 Games: Increased to 124.6 points per game, on an offensive streak.
      • Season Defense: 111.1 points allowed per game.
      • Last 3 Games: Worsened slightly to 114.4 points allowed per game.
  • Analysis: Both teams are on offensive streaks, making this a likely high-scoring affair.
  • Value: Over 235 (-108) is the best play.

Summary of Best Value Plays

  1. Over 240 (-108) in Hawks vs. Cavaliers
  2. Over 233 (-108) in Blazers vs. Pacers
  3. Houston +5 (-108)
  4. Over 224 (-108) in Bulls vs. Magic
  5. Clippers -10.5 (-109)
  6. Miami -3.5 (-108)
  7. Over 235 (-108) in Knicks vs. Mavericks

This analysis incorporates offensive and defensive trends alongside accurate records and lines to provide well-rounded picks.

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