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LEAGUE:-RAYMOND REPORT LITE (NBA)

Oklahoma City Thunder (227.5) vs. Boston Celtics (3.5) Preview (03/12/2025)


Oklahoma City Thunder +3.5   ( +138 ) Vs. Boston Celtics (Total:227.5) Boston Celtics -3.5  ( -154 ) Vs. Oklahoma City Thunder (Total:227.5)
Oklahoma City Thunder
Oklahoma City Thunder
O/U :227.5
Vs.
Date: 2025-03-12
Time: 19:30:00
Generated from 79
Previous Games
Boston Celtics
Boston Celtics
SIDE :3.5
112 Forecast
(O/U 228.59 )
116.59
8-2 L10(SU) 8-2
5-5-0 L10(ATS) 6-4-0
7-3-0 L10(O/U) 4-6-0
41.67% C.O.W 65.15%
36% C.O.C 44%
58% C.O.G.O 58%
-12.05 MSV -8.73
(A) BULLISH(37 D) PVI - SOS (A) BULLISH(40 D)
4-3 SU 4-4
3-4-0 ATS 3-5-0
4-3-0 O/U 5-3-0
Understanding Key Sports Betting Stats and Abbreviations
C.O.W. (Chances of Winning)

This is a percentage that predicts a team's likelihood of winning their next game outright (straight up, or SU). It's calculated using a team's recent and historical win/loss record, processed through a mathematical model. The result helps you decide if betting on that team to win offers good value.

C.O.C. (Chances of Covering)

This percentage shows how likely a team is to beat the point spread (ATS) in their next game, not just win outright. It's based on their short- and long-term ATS win/loss record, run through a math predictor. It tells you if there's betting value in wagering on them to cover the spread.

C.O.G.O. (Chances Game Going OVER)

This predicts the odds of the total points scored by both teams exceeding the over/under line set by bookmakers. It uses both teams short- and long-term over/under records, analyzed by a math model. For example, a 60% C.O.G.O. means there's a 40% chance the game goes UNDER, helping you assess value on the over/under bet.

L.O.A. (Law of Average)

Based on the idea that outcomes tend to even out over time (the 50/50 theory), this suggests betting on a team that lost their last game (either ATS or SU) against a team that won their last game (ATS or SU). It's a strategy to capitalize on streaks potentially reversing.

MSV (Market Spread Value)

This is a calculated point spread we determine through research, compared to the bookmaker's line. By analyzing the gap between past game results, the bookmaker's spread, and our projections, MSV estimates what the spread should be for the next game, highlighting potential betting edges.

PVI (Performance Value Index)

This reflects the betting public's perception of a team based on their last 7 games:

  • Bullish: Team is hot (7-0, 6-1, or 5-2) - high confidence.
  • Neutral: Team is average (4-3 or 3-4) - moderate confidence.
  • Bearish: Team is struggling (0-7, 1-6, or 2-5) - low confidence.

  • It shows how team momentum might influence betting trends.

    Types of Teams (Based on League Standings)

    Teams are grouped into tiers by their season win percentage:

  • Tier 1 (A): 60%+ win rate - Above-average teams with high public confidence but lower betting rewards.
  • Tier 2 (B): 50% - 59.9% win rate - Average teams with moderate confidence and medium rewards.
  • Tier 3 (C): Below 49.9%-win rate - Below-average teams with low confidence but higher potential rewards due to underdog status.
  • ________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________

    These stats are tools to help you analyze games beyond basic win/loss records, giving you an edge when betting against the spread, on totals, or picking winners.

    Raymond Report

    Oklahoma City Thunder Boston Celtics
    Line : +3.5 Line : -3.5
    MoneyLine : +138 MoneyLine : -154
    O/U : 227.5 O/U : 227.5
    Season Record : Season Record :
    SU: 53-13  ATS: 40-26-0  O/U: 36-29-1
    SU: 47-18 ATS: 29-36-0 O/U: 30-35-0
    Home Record : Home Record :
    SU: 29-6  ATS: 21-14-0  O/U: 19-15-1
    SU: 23-11 ATS: 15-19-0 O/U: 18-16-0
    Away Record : Away Record :
    SU: 24-7  ATS: 19-12-0  O/U: 17-14-0
    SU: 24-7 ATS: 14-17-0 O/U: 12-19-0
    Last game: Lost 140 - 127 vs Denver Nuggets Last game: Won 108 - 114 vs Utah Jazz
    SU: 14-19 ATS: 17-16-0 O/U: 15-17-1
    SU: 13-6 ATS: 11-8-0 O/U: 8-10-1
    Current game: vs. Boston Celtics Current game: vs. Oklahoma City Thunder
    SU: 12-15  ATS: 14-13-0  O/U: 17-10-0
    SU: 15-12 ATS: 13-14-0 O/U: 17-10-0
    Next Game: At DETROIT Next Game: At MIAMI
    SU: 10-11  ATS: 14-6-1  O/U: 10-11-0
    SU: 17-10 ATS: 13-14-0 O/U: 16-11-0
    Days Rest : 1 (+3.5/+6.0 RD) Days Rest : 1 (-3.5/-6.0 HF)
    (L) SU:  (35-64-0 ATS:  (49-48-2 )  O/U: (60-36-3)
    (L) SU: ( 60-36-1) ATS:  (43-51-3) O/U: (58-37-2)
    (T) SU: (0-0)  ATS: (0-0-0)  O/U: (0-0-0)
    (T) SU: (4-1) ATS: (3-2-0) O/U: (1-4-0)
    Streaks : 1 SU Lost - 1 ATS Lost - 1 Over Streaks : 5 SU Win - 1 ATS Lost - 2 Under
    Road Teams Strength of Schedule last 7 games: 46.94% Home Teams Strength of Schedule last 7 games: 51.02%
    Situational Stats Situational Stats
    Home Favorite: 29 Win -6 Lost   (PF)119.94 - (PA)106.26 Home Favorite: 23 Win -11 Lost   (PF)117.79 - (PA)109.47
    Home Underdog: 0 Win -0 Lost   (PF)N/A - (PA)N/A Home Underdog: 0 Win -0 Lost   (PF)N/A - (PA)N/A
    Road Favorite: 23 Win -6 Lost   (PF)118.55 - (PA)107.69 Road Favorite: 23 Win -5 Lost   (PF)117.11 - (PA)106.64
    Road Underdog: 1 Win -1 Lost   (PF)112 - (PA)108 Road Underdog: 1 Win -2 Lost   (PF)105 - (PA)108.33
    Last 3 game: 2 Win 1 Lost    (PF)120.33 - (PA)110.67 Last 3 game: 3 Win 0 Lost    (PF)116 - (PA)104.67
    Last 5 game: 4 Win 1 Lost    (PF)123.6 - (PA)112.6 Last 5 game: 5 Win 0 Lost    (PF)117.2 - (PA)107
    Last 7 game: 6 Win 1 Lost   (PF)128.43 - (PA)116.29 Last 7 game: 5 Win 2 Lost   (PF)114.14 - (PA)110.71
    Last 10 game: 8 Win 2 Lost   (PF)128.6 - (PA)118.9 Last 10 game: 8 Win 2 Lost   (PF)115.2 - (PA)108.5
    Last 15 game: 12 Win 3 Lost   (PF)126.27 - (PA)115.07 Last 15 game: 12 Win 3 Lost   (PF)115.6 - (PA)107.27
    Situations (Oklahoma City Thunder) Situations (Boston Celtics)
    Coming off a vs. Northwest Opponent. Coming off a vs. Northwest Opponent.
    Coming off a home fav lost Coming off a home fav win
    Coming off a 1 game losing streak Coming off a 5 game winning streak
    Coming off 1 over Coming off 2 unders
    Allowed 120 or more points AGAINST in their last game Scored 110 or more points FOR in their last game
    Coming off 3 game home stand Allowed 110 or less points AGAINST in their last game
    Coming off 1 ATS lost Coming off 1 ATS lost
    3 game in 4 nights After 1 day off
    Trends Trends
    Query ATS SU O/U
    When BOSTON team Played as Home team as a Favorite - During the month of March - After a non conference game - Scored 110 or more points FOR in their last game 11-15-0 21-5 13-13-0
    When BOSTON team Played as Home team as a Favorite - Before a conference game - with 1 day off - Scored 110 or more points FOR in their last game - Coming off 1 ATS lost 8-10-0 15-3 9-8-1
    When BOSTON team played as a Home team - During the month of March - Total is 220 or more - Allowed 110 or less points AGAINST in their last game Scored 115 or less points FOR in back to back game 12-5-0 15-2 9-8-0
    When ANY NBA Team Played as Home team as a Favorite - Last 5 years - After a non conference game - with 1 day off - Coming off a Win over Western Northwest opponent - Coming off a 4-7 point win Scored 115 or less points FOR in back to back game 15-10-1 21-5 12-14-0