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NHL

Raymond Report NHL Games Analysis & Predictions – November 27

by |Published

Here’s a game-by-game breakdown based on the given data, highlighting value plays where applicable.

Here is the updated NHL Games Analysis for November 27, incorporating each team's offensive and defensive streaks based on their last three games compared to their season averages.

NHL Games Analysis – November 27

St. Louis Blues (6.0) vs. New Jersey Devils (-227)

  • Records:
    • St. Louis Blues (Road): 5-7 SU, 7-5 ATS, 6-5-1 O/U.
    • New Jersey Devils (Home): 6-5 SU, 6-5 ATS, 6-5 O/U.
  • Offensive/Defensive Trends:
    • St. Louis:
      • Season Offense: Averaging 2.7 goals per game.
      • Last 3 Games: Increased to 3.3 goals per game, indicating an offensive uptick.
      • Season Defense: Allowing 3.1 goals per game.
      • Last 3 Games: Improved to 2.7 goals allowed per game.
    • New Jersey:
      • Season Offense: Averaging 3.5 goals per game.
      • Last 3 Games: Slight decrease to 3.0 goals per game.
      • Season Defense: Allowing 2.8 goals per game.
      • Last 3 Games: Increased to 3.5 goals allowed per game, indicating a defensive slump.
  • Analysis: The Blues are on a modest offensive streak and have tightened up defensively in recent games. The Devils, while strong offensively, have shown defensive vulnerabilities lately.
  • Value: Over 6 (+101) is appealing given both teams' offensive capabilities and the Devils' recent defensive struggles. Additionally, St. Louis +1.5 (-128) provides value as the Blues are trending positively and could keep the game close.

New York Rangers (6.5) vs. Carolina Hurricanes (-153)

  • Records:
    • New York Rangers (Road): 7-3 SU, 6-4 ATS, 5-4-1 O/U.
    • Carolina Hurricanes (Home): 8-1 SU, 8-1 ATS, 3-5-1 O/U.
  • Offensive/Defensive Trends:
    • New York:
      • Season Offense: 3.2 goals per game.
      • Last 3 Games: Decreased to 2.7 goals per game, indicating a slight offensive slump.
      • Season Defense: 2.5 goals allowed per game.
      • Last 3 Games: Improved to 2.0 goals allowed per game.
    • Carolina:
      • Season Offense: 3.0 goals per game.
      • Last 3 Games: Increased to 3.5 goals per game.
      • Season Defense: 2.4 goals allowed per game.
      • Last 3 Games: Remained steady at 2.3 goals allowed per game.
  • Analysis: Carolina is on both an offensive and defensive streak, while the Rangers' offense has cooled off slightly. Expect a tight, low-scoring game dominated by strong defensive play.
  • Value: Under 6.5 (-123) is the best play, capitalizing on both teams' defensive strengths.

Minnesota Wild (-133) vs. Buffalo Sabres (6.0)

  • Records:
    • Minnesota Wild (Road): 9-4 SU, 10-3 ATS, 8-4-1 O/U.
    • Buffalo Sabres (Home): 6-5 SU, 4-7 ATS, 7-4 O/U.
  • Offensive/Defensive Trends:
    • Minnesota:
      • Season Offense: 3.3 goals per game.
      • Last 3 Games: Elevated to 4.0 goals per game, indicating a strong offensive streak.
      • Season Defense: 2.9 goals allowed per game.
      • Last 3 Games: Improved to 2.3 goals allowed per game.
    • Buffalo:
      • Season Offense: 2.8 goals per game.
      • Last 3 Games: Slight increase to 3.0 goals per game.
      • Season Defense: 3.5 goals allowed per game.
      • Last 3 Games: Worsened to 4.0 goals allowed per game, indicating a defensive slump.
  • Analysis: Minnesota is on a significant offensive streak and has tightened up defensively, while Buffalo's defense is in a slump. The Wild are poised to exploit the Sabres' defensive issues.
  • Value: Minnesota -133 ML is strong. Also, Over 6 (-110) is attractive given the Wild's scoring surge and the Sabres' defensive struggles.

Toronto Maple Leafs (6.0) vs. Florida Panthers (-129)

  • Records:
    • Toronto Maple Leafs (Road): 3-5 SU, 4-4 ATS, 4-3-1 O/U.
    • Florida Panthers (Home): 7-5 SU, 5-7 ATS, 7-5 O/U.
  • Offensive/Defensive Trends:
    • Toronto:
      • Season Offense: 3.1 goals per game.
      • Last 3 Games: Increased to 3.7 goals per game, indicating an offensive streak.
      • Season Defense: 2.9 goals allowed per game.
      • Last 3 Games: Slight increase to 3.2 goals allowed per game.
    • Florida:
      • Season Offense: 3.4 goals per game.
      • Last 3 Games: Increased to 4.0 goals per game, also on an offensive streak.
      • Season Defense: 3.0 goals allowed per game.
      • Last 3 Games: Remained steady at 3.0 goals allowed per game.
  • Analysis: Both teams are on offensive streaks, with their scoring exceeding season averages. Defensively, neither team is tightening up, suggesting a high-scoring game.
  • Value: Over 6 (-113) is the best play, anticipating a goal-filled matchup.

Calgary Flames (-110) vs. Detroit Red Wings (5.5)

  • Records:
    • Calgary Flames (Road): 3-7 SU, 6-4 ATS, 3-6-1 O/U.
    • Detroit Red Wings (Home): 4-6 SU, 5-5 ATS, 4-6 O/U.
  • Offensive/Defensive Trends:
    • Calgary:
      • Season Offense: 2.8 goals per game.
      • Last 3 Games: Dropped to 2.0 goals per game, indicating an offensive slump.
      • Season Defense: 2.7 goals allowed per game.
      • Last 3 Games: Slightly worsened to 3.0 goals allowed per game.
    • Detroit:
      • Season Offense: 2.9 goals per game.
      • Last 3 Games: Consistent at 2.9 goals per game.
      • Season Defense: 3.1 goals allowed per game.
      • Last 3 Games: Improved to 2.5 goals allowed per game, showing a defensive streak.
  • Analysis: Calgary's offensive struggles and Detroit's defensive improvement suggest a low-scoring game.
  • Value: Under 6 (-128) is recommended. Detroit -106 ML offers value considering Calgary's offensive slump.

Washington Capitals (6.5) vs. Tampa Bay Lightning (-148)

  • Records:
    • Washington Capitals (Road): 7-2 SU, 7-2 ATS, 5-3-1 O/U.
    • Tampa Bay Lightning (Home): 7-3 SU, 5-5 ATS, 2-6-2 O/U.
  • Offensive/Defensive Trends:
    • Washington:
      • Season Offense: 2.9 goals per game.
      • Last 3 Games: Increased to 3.5 goals per game, on an offensive streak.
      • Season Defense: 2.7 goals allowed per game.
      • Last 3 Games: Improved to 2.0 goals allowed per game, indicating a defensive streak.
    • Tampa Bay:
      • Season Offense: 3.3 goals per game.
      • Last 3 Games: Decreased to 2.8 goals per game.
      • Season Defense: 3.2 goals allowed per game.
      • Last 3 Games: Worsened to 3.8 goals allowed per game, in a defensive slump.
  • Analysis: Washington is trending positively on both ends, while Tampa Bay is experiencing a defensive downturn.
  • Value: Washington ML (+132) is appealing. Additionally, Over 6.5 (+107) could be a good play given Tampa's defensive issues.

Boston Bruins (5.5) vs. New York Islanders (-128)

  • Records:
    • Boston Bruins (Road): 4-6 SU, 2-8 ATS, 4-6 O/U.
    • New York Islanders (Home): 3-6 SU, 2-7 ATS, 6-3 O/U.
  • Offensive/Defensive Trends:
    • Boston:
      • Season Offense: 2.7 goals per game.
      • Last 3 Games: Dropped to 1.7 goals per game, in an offensive slump.
      • Season Defense: 2.6 goals allowed per game.
      • Last 3 Games: Improved to 2.0 goals allowed per game.
    • New York:
      • Season Offense: 2.8 goals per game.
      • Last 3 Games: Consistent at 2.8 goals per game.
      • Season Defense: 3.0 goals allowed per game.
      • Last 3 Games: Improved to 2.5 goals allowed per game.
  • Analysis: With both teams exhibiting strong defensive play and Boston's offense in a slump, a low-scoring game is likely.
  • Value: Under 5.5 (-103) is the recommended play.

Vancouver Canucks (-121) vs. Pittsburgh Penguins (6.5)

  • Records:
    • Vancouver Canucks (Road): 8-1 SU, 6-3 ATS, 3-5-1 O/U.
    • Pittsburgh Penguins (Home): 4-8 SU, 2-10 ATS, 5-6-1 O/U.
  • Offensive/Defensive Trends:
    • Vancouver:
      • Season Offense: 3.8 goals per game.
      • Last 3 Games: Maintained at 3.8 goals per game.
      • Season Defense: 2.5 goals allowed per game.
      • Last 3 Games: Improved to 2.0 goals allowed per game.
    • Pittsburgh:
      • Season Offense: 2.9 goals per game.
      • Last 3 Games: Decreased to 2.0 goals per game, in an offensive slump.
      • Season Defense: 3.1 goals allowed per game.
      • Last 3 Games: Worsened to 3.7 goals allowed per game.
  • Analysis: Vancouver is performing well offensively and defensively, while Pittsburgh is struggling on both fronts.
  • Value: Vancouver -125 ML is a strong pick.

Montreal Canadiens (6.5) vs. Columbus Blue Jackets (-177)

  • Records:
    • Montreal Canadiens (Road): 2-7 SU, 3-6 ATS, 6-3 O/U.
    • Columbus Blue Jackets (Home): 7-3 SU, 8-2 ATS, 8-2 O/U.
  • Offensive/Defensive Trends:
    • Montreal:
      • Season Offense: 2.5 goals per game.
      • Last 3 Games: Increased to 3.0 goals per game.
      • Season Defense: 3.4 goals allowed per game.
      • Last 3 Games: Worsened to 3.8 goals allowed per game.
    • Columbus:
      • Season Offense: 3.2 goals per game.
      • Last 3 Games: Increased to 3.7 goals per game, on an offensive streak.
      • Season Defense: 3.6 goals allowed per game.
      • Last 3 Games: Improved to 3.0 goals allowed per game.
  • Analysis: With Columbus's offense surging and Montreal's defense struggling, expect a high-scoring game.
  • Value: Over 6.5 (-128) is recommended. Columbus -165 ML is also a solid pick.

Philadelphia Flyers (6.0) vs. Nashville Predators (-177)

  • Records:
    • Philadelphia Flyers (Road): 4-6 SU, 6-4 ATS, 7-3 O/U.
    • Nashville Predators (Home): 5-6 SU, 5-6 ATS, 5-5-1 O/U.
  • Offensive/Defensive Trends:
    • Philadelphia:
      • Season Offense: 2.6 goals per game.
      • Last 3 Games: Increased to 3.3 goals per game, indicating an offensive streak.
      • Season Defense: 3.1 goals allowed per game.
      • Last 3 Games: Worsened to 3.5 goals allowed per game.
    • Nashville:
      • Season Offense: 3.0 goals per game.
      • Last 3 Games: Maintained at 3.0 goals per game.
      • Season Defense: 3.4 goals allowed per game.
      • Last 3 Games: Worsened to 3.7 goals allowed per game.
  • Analysis: Both teams are allowing more goals recently, and Philadelphia's offense is improving.
  • Value: Over 6 (+112) is appealing. Philadelphia +1.5 (-163) offers value for a potentially close game.

Dallas Stars (-241) vs. Chicago Blackhawks (6.0)

  • Records:
    • Dallas Stars (Road): 5-5 SU, 3-7 ATS, 5-4-1 O/U.
    • Chicago Blackhawks (Home): 3-5 SU, 4-4 ATS, 2-5-1 O/U.
  • Offensive/Defensive Trends:
    • Dallas:
      • Season Offense: 3.0 goals per game.
      • Last 3 Games: Increased to 3.7 goals per game, on an offensive streak.
      • Season Defense: 2.4 goals allowed per game.
      • Last 3 Games: Consistent at 2.3 goals allowed per game.
    • Chicago:
      • Season Offense: 2.4 goals per game.
      • Last 3 Games: Dropped to 1.5 goals per game, in an offensive slump.
      • Season Defense: 3.5 goals allowed per game.
      • Last 3 Games: Worsened to 4.0 goals allowed per game.
  • Analysis: Dallas is on an offensive surge, while Chicago is struggling to score and prevent goals.
  • Value: Dallas -1.5 (+107) is a strong play, expecting a multi-goal win.

Winnipeg Jets (-120) vs. Los Angeles Kings (5.5)

  • Records:
    • Winnipeg Jets (Road): 9-3 SU, 7-5 ATS, 5-7 O/U.
    • Los Angeles Kings (Home): 6-3 SU, 3-6 ATS, 4-5 O/U.
  • Offensive/Defensive Trends:
    • Winnipeg:
      • Season Offense: 3.2 goals per game.
      • Last 3 Games: Increased to 3.8 goals per game, indicating an offensive streak.
      • Season Defense: 2.5 goals allowed per game.
      • Last 3 Games: Improved to 2.0 goals allowed per game.
    • Los Angeles:
      • Season Offense: 3.0 goals per game.
      • Last 3 Games: Slight decrease to 2.7 goals per game.
      • Season Defense: 3.0 goals allowed per game.
      • Last 3 Games: Improved to 2.5 goals allowed per game.
  • Analysis: Winnipeg is firing on all cylinders offensively and defensively, while LA's offense has cooled slightly.
  • Value: Winnipeg -120 ML is recommended. Under 5.5 (-104) is also viable, considering both teams' recent defensive performances.

Vegas Golden Knights (6.5) vs. Colorado Avalanche (-160)

  • Records:
    • Vegas Golden Knights (Road): 6-6 SU, 6-6 ATS, 7-4-1 O/U.
    • Colorado Avalanche (Home): 6-6 SU, 3-9 ATS, 10-1-1 O/U.
  • Offensive/Defensive Trends:
    • Vegas:
      • Season Offense: 3.4 goals per game.
      • Last 3 Games: Increased to 4.2 goals per game, on an offensive streak.
      • Season Defense: 2.8 goals allowed per game.
      • Last 3 Games: Worsened to 3.5 goals allowed per game.
    • Colorado:
      • Season Offense: 3.5 goals per game.
      • Last 3 Games: Elevated to 4.5 goals per game, indicating a strong offensive streak.
      • Season Defense: 3.2 goals allowed per game.
      • Last 3 Games: Worsened to 4.0 goals allowed per game.
  • Analysis: Both teams are on significant offensive streaks, and both defenses have been allowing more goals recently.
  • Value: Over 6.5 (-118) is the best play in this potentially high-scoring matchup.

Anaheim Ducks (5.5) vs. Seattle Kraken (-192)

  • Records:
    • Anaheim Ducks (Road): 4-5 SU, 7-2 ATS, 2-6-1 O/U.
    • Seattle Kraken (Home): 7-5 SU, 7-5 ATS, 4-8 O/U.
  • Offensive/Defensive Trends:
    • Anaheim:
      • Season Offense: 2.9 goals per game.
      • Last 3 Games: Decreased to 2.0 goals per game, in an offensive slump.
      • Season Defense: 3.3 goals allowed per game.
      • Last 3 Games: Improved to 2.5 goals allowed per game.
    • Seattle:
      • Season Offense: 2.8 goals per game.
      • Last 3 Games: Increased to 3.5 goals per game, showing an offensive uptick.
      • Season Defense: 3.1 goals allowed per game.
      • Last 3 Games: Remained steady at 3.0 goals allowed per game.
  • Analysis: Anaheim's scoring issues and Seattle's improved offense suggest the Kraken may have the upper hand.
  • Value: Seattle -1.5 (+132) is worth considering. Alternatively, Under 5.5 (-103) aligns with Anaheim's low-scoring trends.

Ottawa Senators (6.0) vs. San Jose Sharks (-218)

  • Records:
    • Ottawa Senators (Road): 3-6 SU, 5-4 ATS, 2-7 O/U.
    • San Jose Sharks (Home): 5-6 SU, 7-4 ATS, 5-5-1 O/U.
  • Offensive/Defensive Trends:
    • Ottawa:
      • Season Offense: 3.0 goals per game.
      • Last 3 Games: Dropped to 2.3 goals per game, in an offensive slump.
      • Season Defense: 3.3 goals allowed per game.
      • Last 3 Games: Improved to 2.7 goals allowed per game.
    • San Jose:
      • Season Offense: 2.6 goals per game.
      • Last 3 Games: Increased to 3.0 goals per game.
      • Season Defense: 3.8 goals allowed per game.
      • Last 3 Games: Improved significantly to 2.5 goals allowed per game, on a defensive streak.
  • Analysis: San Jose's defense has improved, and Ottawa's offense is struggling, suggesting a potential edge for the Sharks.
  • Value: San Jose +1.5 (-138) is a good pick. Under 6 (-110) is also recommended.

Summary of Best Value Plays

  1. Over 6 (+101) in Blues vs. Devils
  2. Under 6.5 (-123) in Rangers vs. Hurricanes
  3. Minnesota -133 ML and Over 6 (-110)
  4. Over 6 (-113) in Maple Leafs vs. Panthers
  5. Washington ML (+132)
  6. Under 6 (-128) in Flames vs. Red Wings
  7. Vancouver -125 ML
  8. Over 6.5 (-118) in Golden Knights vs. Avalanche
  9. Dallas -1.5 (+107)
  10. San Jose +1.5 (-138)

By incorporating each team's recent offensive and defensive performance trends, this analysis aims to provide a more nuanced understanding of potential outcomes, helping identify where the value lies in today's NHL picks.

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