NHL Recap and Preview – January 16 & 17, 2025

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NHL Recap – January 16, 2025

Washington Capitals 1, Ottawa Senators 0

• Market Analysis: A defensive battle saw the Senators lose as slight favorites (-114). The game stayed well under the total of 5.5, with both offenses struggling.
• Takeaway: Ottawa’s offense continues to falter despite solid defensive play.

Detroit Red Wings 5, Florida Panthers 2

• Market Analysis: The Red Wings pulled off a massive upset as +228 underdogs. The game went over the total of 5.5, driven by Detroit's explosive offense.
• Takeaway: Detroit’s offense is heating up, providing strong value as an underdog.

Anaheim Ducks 3, Tampa Bay Lightning 4

• Market Analysis: The Lightning barely covered the -1.5 spread, and the game pushed over the total of 6. Tampa Bay’s offense capitalized on defensive lapses from Anaheim.
• Takeaway: Tampa Bay continues to rely on offensive production to cover.

New Jersey Devils 3, Toronto Maple Leafs 4

• Market Analysis: The Maple Leafs squeaked out a win as -120 favorites. The game went over the total of 5.5, fueled by strong third-period scoring.
• Takeaway: Toronto’s offense is consistent, but defensive issues remain a concern.

San Jose Sharks 1, Columbus Blue Jackets 4

• Market Analysis: Columbus handled business as -169 favorites, covering the puck line and pushing the total to 6.5. Their defensive play stifled San Jose’s offense.
• Takeaway: Columbus is proving reliable on home ice with consistent defensive efforts.

Philadelphia Flyers 5, New York Islanders 3

• Market Analysis: Philadelphia won outright as +117 underdogs in a high-scoring affair, going over the total of 5.5. The Flyers capitalized on turnovers from the Islanders.
• Takeaway: Philadelphia’s offense is finding rhythm, making them an attractive underdog play.

Seattle Kraken 1, Winnipeg Jets 2

• Market Analysis: Winnipeg held on as -222 favorites, with the game staying under the total of 5.5. Both teams struggled offensively.
• Takeaway: Winnipeg’s defense continues to shine, but offensive consistency is lacking.

Chicago Blackhawks 2, Nashville Predators 3

• Market Analysis: Nashville barely covered the -1.5 spread, with the game staying under the total of 5.5. A defensive masterclass allowed the Predators to secure the win.
• Takeaway: Nashville’s defense is keeping them competitive in low-scoring games.

Montreal Canadiens 3, Dallas Stars 1

• Market Analysis: Montreal pulled off a surprising road win as +191 underdogs. The game stayed under the total of 5.5 due to strong goaltending from the Canadiens.
• Takeaway: Montreal is gaining momentum with improved defensive play.

Calgary Flames 1, St. Louis Blues 4

• Market Analysis: St. Louis dominated as -128 favorites, comfortably covering the puck line. The game exceeded the total of 5.5 with a strong showing from their offense.
• Takeaway: St. Louis is regaining form, particularly in high-scoring games.

New York Rangers 5, Utah Hockey Club 3

• Market Analysis: The Rangers delivered as -116 favorites, with the game going over the total of 5.5. Offensive firepower was the key for New York.
• Takeaway: The Rangers’ offensive depth continues to lead the way.

Edmonton Oilers 4, Colorado Avalanche 3

• Market Analysis: Edmonton pulled off a narrow upset as +103 underdogs. The game exceeded the total of 5.5, showcasing both teams' offensive prowess.
• Takeaway: Edmonton’s high-octane offense is proving difficult to contain.

Los Angeles Kings 5, Vancouver Canucks 1

• Market Analysis: The Kings dominated as slight -115 favorites, easily covering the puck line. The game stayed under the total of 5.5 with strong defensive play from Los Angeles.
• Takeaway: Los Angeles is finding their stride with a balanced approach.

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NHL Preview – January 17, 2025

Vegas Golden Knights vs. Carolina Hurricanes

• Odds: Hurricanes (-147), Total: 5.5
• Insight: Carolina is looking to bounce back after two consecutive losses. Vegas is coming off a loss to Nashville but has performed well on the road. Both teams have shown defensive strengths recently.
• Prediction: Hurricanes to win; total under 5.5.

Pittsburgh Penguins vs. Buffalo Sabres

• Odds: Sabres (-135), Total: 6.5
• Insight: Buffalo is riding a wave of momentum, with an 8-2 O/U record in their last 10 games. Pittsburgh’s struggles continue, especially on the road.
• Prediction: Sabres to win and cover; total over 6.5.

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SBI Report

Market Performance Trends

• 1-Day SU Favorites: 54% (Neutral)
• 1-Day O/U Overs: 54% (Neutral)
• 1-Day ATS Underdogs: 69% (Bearish for favorites)
• 7-Day SU Favorites: 52.7% (Neutral)
• 7-Day O/U Overs/Unders: 50% (Neutral)
• 7-Day ATS Underdogs: 61.4% (Bearish for favorites)

Key Takeaway:

• SU favorites are trending neutral but have been profitable in the longer term (59.9% YTD).
• Overs are showing bullish trends, especially over the last 3 days (65.3%).
• ATS underdogs continue to dominate, making them valuable plays in the current market.

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