NHL Recap – January 16, 2025
Washington Capitals 1, Ottawa Senators 0
- Market Analysis: A defensive battle saw the Senators lose as slight favorites (-114). The game stayed well under the total of 5.5, with both offenses struggling.
- Takeaway: Ottawa’s offense continues to falter despite solid defensive play.
Detroit Red Wings 5, Florida Panthers 2
- Market Analysis: The Red Wings pulled off a massive upset as +228 underdogs. The game went over the total of 5.5, driven by Detroit's explosive offense.
- Takeaway: Detroit’s offense is heating up, providing strong value as an underdog.
Anaheim Ducks 3, Tampa Bay Lightning 4
- Market Analysis: The Lightning barely covered the -1.5 spread, and the game pushed over the total of 6. Tampa Bay’s offense capitalized on defensive lapses from Anaheim.
- Takeaway: Tampa Bay continues to rely on offensive production to cover.
New Jersey Devils 3, Toronto Maple Leafs 4
- Market Analysis: The Maple Leafs squeaked out a win as -120 favorites. The game went over the total of 5.5, fueled by strong third-period scoring.
- Takeaway: Toronto’s offense is consistent, but defensive issues remain a concern.
San Jose Sharks 1, Columbus Blue Jackets 4
- Market Analysis: Columbus handled business as -169 favorites, covering the puck line and pushing the total to 6.5. Their defensive play stifled San Jose’s offense.
- Takeaway: Columbus is proving reliable on home ice with consistent defensive efforts.
Philadelphia Flyers 5, New York Islanders 3
- Market Analysis: Philadelphia won outright as +117 underdogs in a high-scoring affair, going over the total of 5.5. The Flyers capitalized on turnovers from the Islanders.
- Takeaway: Philadelphia’s offense is finding rhythm, making them an attractive underdog play.
Seattle Kraken 1, Winnipeg Jets 2
- Market Analysis: Winnipeg held on as -222 favorites, with the game staying under the total of 5.5. Both teams struggled offensively.
- Takeaway: Winnipeg’s defense continues to shine, but offensive consistency is lacking.
Chicago Blackhawks 2, Nashville Predators 3
- Market Analysis: Nashville barely covered the -1.5 spread, with the game staying under the total of 5.5. A defensive masterclass allowed the Predators to secure the win.
- Takeaway: Nashville’s defense is keeping them competitive in low-scoring games.
Montreal Canadiens 3, Dallas Stars 1
- Market Analysis: Montreal pulled off a surprising road win as +191 underdogs. The game stayed under the total of 5.5 due to strong goaltending from the Canadiens.
- Takeaway: Montreal is gaining momentum with improved defensive play.
Calgary Flames 1, St. Louis Blues 4
- Market Analysis: St. Louis dominated as -128 favorites, comfortably covering the puck line. The game exceeded the total of 5.5 with a strong showing from their offense.
- Takeaway: St. Louis is regaining form, particularly in high-scoring games.
New York Rangers 5, Utah Hockey Club 3
- Market Analysis: The Rangers delivered as -116 favorites, with the game going over the total of 5.5. Offensive firepower was the key for New York.
- Takeaway: The Rangers’ offensive depth continues to lead the way.
Edmonton Oilers 4, Colorado Avalanche 3
- Market Analysis: Edmonton pulled off a narrow upset as +103 underdogs. The game exceeded the total of 5.5, showcasing both teams' offensive prowess.
- Takeaway: Edmonton’s high-octane offense is proving difficult to contain.
Los Angeles Kings 5, Vancouver Canucks 1
- Market Analysis: The Kings dominated as slight -115 favorites, easily covering the puck line. The game stayed under the total of 5.5 with strong defensive play from Los Angeles.
- Takeaway: Los Angeles is finding their stride with a balanced approach.
NHL Preview – January 17, 2025
Vegas Golden Knights vs. Carolina Hurricanes
- Odds: Hurricanes (-147), Total: 5.5
- Insight: Carolina is looking to bounce back after two consecutive losses. Vegas is coming off a loss to Nashville but has performed well on the road. Both teams have shown defensive strengths recently.
- Prediction: Hurricanes to win; total under 5.5.
Pittsburgh Penguins vs. Buffalo Sabres
- Odds: Sabres (-135), Total: 6.5
- Insight: Buffalo is riding a wave of momentum, with an 8-2 O/U record in their last 10 games. Pittsburgh’s struggles continue, especially on the road.
- Prediction: Sabres to win and cover; total over 6.5.
SBI Report
Market Performance Trends
- 1-Day SU Favorites: 54% (Neutral)
- 1-Day O/U Overs: 54% (Neutral)
- 1-Day ATS Underdogs: 69% (Bearish for favorites)
- 7-Day SU Favorites: 52.7% (Neutral)
- 7-Day O/U Overs/Unders: 50% (Neutral)
- 7-Day ATS Underdogs: 61.4% (Bearish for favorites)
Key Takeaway:
- SU favorites are trending neutral but have been profitable in the longer term (59.9% YTD).
- Overs are showing bullish trends, especially over the last 3 days (65.3%).
- ATS underdogs continue to dominate, making them valuable plays in the current market.