Leveraging Ron Raymond’s proprietary data, we break down Monday’s key matchups through the lens of historical system trends.
Game 1: Philadelphia Flyers vs. New Jersey Devils
Trends Highlight:
- PHI as Home Underdog vs. NJD: The Flyers dominate ATS with an 11-1-0 record (91.7% cover rate) in this spot, though their SU record is neutral (5-6). The Over has hit 70% of the time (7-3-2).
- Team Trend: When PHI allows 3+ goals in their previous game as a home underdog (5.5 total), they’re 8-2-0 ATS but 3-7-0 to the Under.
Key Takeaway: Philadelphia’s underdog resilience makes them a strong ATS pick, but monitor the total—broader trends lean Over, while recent defensive lapses may push the Under.
Game 2: Detroit Red Wings vs. [Pacific Division Opponent]
Trends Highlight:
- DET as Home Underdog in January: 9-1-0 ATS (90% cover rate) with a 6-4 SU record. The Under is 4-6-0 here.
- DET vs. Pacific Division at Home: 8-2-0 ATS and 7-3-0 to the Over.
- Smart Stats: When Detroit wins by 2+ goals as a home underdog, the Under is 1-10-0.
Key Takeaway: Detroit’s ATS dominance is undeniable, but the total hinges on the opponent. A Pacific foe could drive scoring (Over 7-3), while a low total (5.5) might favor the Under.
Game 3: Vancouver Canucks as Road Underdog
Trends Highlight:
- VAN in January: 10-5-0 ATS as road underdogs, with a staggering 12-3-0 Over record.
- Team Trend: VAN as a road underdog after a 1-goal win is 9-1-0 ATS (90% cover rate) but 4-6-0 to the Under.
Key Takeaway: Vancouver’s road underdog grit and high-scoring January trends (Over 12-3) make them a prime Over target.
Game 4: Edmonton Oilers vs. Seattle Kraken
Trends Highlight:
- EDM as Favorite vs. SEA: 9-2 SU and 7-4-0 ATS, with the Over hitting 7-4-0.
- Monday Night Factor: On January Mondays, Edmonton is 7-3 SU but 1-9-0 to the Under.
Key Takeaway: Edmonton’s SU reliability clashes with a stark Monday Under trend. If the total is set high (6.5+), lean Over; if lower, trust the Under.
Game 5: San Jose Sharks as Home Underdog
Trends Highlight:
- SJ on Mondays: 8-2-0 ATS and 8-2 SU as home underdogs, with a 6-3-1 Over trend.
- Total Alert: When the total is 6.5–7.0, San Jose’s games are 1-9-0 to the Under.
Key Takeaway: The Sharks’ Monday magic suggests value on the moneyline, but a high total could trap bettors—Under remains likely if the line climbs.
Final Verdicts
- PHI +1.5 (ATS) and Over (if total ≤5.5).
- DET +1.5 (ATS) and Over (vs. Pacific).
- VAN +1.5 (ATS) and Over (strong trend).
- EDM ML (SU) but Under (Monday factor).
- SJ ML (sneaky SU value) and Under (if total ≥6.5).
Data via Raymond Report’s 80% Club—where history meets edge. Bet wisely! 🏒📊