Attention NFL football bettors! With data courtesy of Sports Handicapper Ron Raymond of the Raymond Report at ATS STATS, we present an analysis of the strength of schedule power ratings for Week 5. Here’s a breakdown of what you need to know.
The Leaders:
Philadelphia Eagles and San Francisco 49ers are setting the pace with an impeccable 4-0 record. The Eagles maintain a solid power rating of 0.72 both across the season and in their last three games. The 49ers, while equaling the Eagles in wins, sit slightly lower at a power rating of 0.69. Both teams, however, have played against opponents with win percentages near the 40% mark, suggesting they've largely faced weaker opposition.
Hot On Their Heels:
Several teams are not far behind, sitting at 3-1 for the season, including Baltimore Ravens, Buffalo Bills, Dallas Cowboys, Detroit Lions, Miami Dolphins, Seattle Seahawks, and Tampa Bay Buccaneers. Among this group, the Lions lead in power ratings with 0.69, shadowed closely by Bills and Dolphins at 0.59. The Lions have had a tougher path, playing against teams winning 62.5% of their games, indicating strong opposition.
Seeking Their Stride:
Carolina Panthers and Chicago Bears have had a rough start, with no wins under their belt and a 0-4 record. Their strengths of schedule, however, differ: Panthers have faced average teams with a 50% win rate, while the Bears have played against slightly stronger teams, with a win percentage of 56.25%.
The Balanced Brigade:
Many teams, such as the Cleveland Browns, hold a 2-2 record. Intriguingly, the Browns have a power rating of 0.50 and have faced opponents with a balanced 50% win rate.
Houston Texans, Indianapolis Colts, Jacksonville Jaguars, Pittsburgh Steelers, and Washington Commanders all share a 2-2 record but have played against teams winning 56.25% of their games, suggesting slightly stronger opposition.
Inconsistencies Worth Noting:
Dallas Cowboys stand out, having competed against teams with an exceptionally low 25% win rate, which may raise questions about the strength behind their 3-1 record. Conversely, New England Patriots and New York Giants, both at 1-3, have battled teams with a hefty 68.75% win rate, indicating they’ve faced stiff competition.
Betting Tips:
- Examine the Strength of Schedule (SOS%): A team's record can be misleading if not viewed alongside their SOS%.
- Trust the Power Ratings: PR offers a rounded perspective, indicating a team’s overall strength, considering their performance and the quality of the opponents they’ve faced.
To sum up, wins and losses offer a preliminary picture. However, a closer look at the strength of schedule and power ratings can provide deeper insights for bettors. May your predictions be on point!
