Miami Dolphins vs. Buffalo Bills Betting Preview (10/01/2023)

The NFL calendar is marked with games that promise excitement, and this Sunday's face-off between the Miami Dolphins and the Buffalo Bills is one of them. As two of the most dynamic teams in the league prepare to battle it out, the Raymond Report Lite dives deep into statistics, trends, and predictions. Both teams have showcased impressive streaks recently, but only one will emerge victorious. Who has the edge? Let's delve into the numbers and find out.

Raymond Report Lite (NFL)

The Matchup:

It's shaping up to be an electric battle at the stadium as the unbeaten Miami Dolphins take on the formidable Buffalo Bills this Sunday. Both teams are riding high on their recent successes, with the Dolphins maintaining an unblemished record and the Bills only having stumbled once. As of now, the Bills are favored to win by 2 points, with the Over/Under set at 53.5. But what do the numbers from the Raymond Report tell us about this matchup?

Miami Dolphins at a Glance:

• Odds: +2
• MoneyLine: +120
• O/U: 53.5
• Season Record: SU: 3-0, ATS: 3-0-0, O/U: 2-1-0
• Home/Away Record: At home, the Dolphins are perfect with SU: 1-0, ATS: 1-0-0, and O/U: 1-0-0. On the road, they have been equally dominant with SU: 2-0, ATS: 2-0-0, and O/U: 1-1-0.
• Recent Performance: The Dolphins recently obliterated the Denver Broncos, scoring a whopping 70 points to Denver's 20. Their current 3-game winning streak will surely be a confidence booster going into this matchup.

Buffalo Bills Insights:

• Odds: -2
• MoneyLine: -143
• O/U: 53.5
• Season Record: SU: 2-1, ATS: 2-1-0, O/U: 1-2-0
• Home/Away Record: At home, the Bills have a record of SU: 1-0, ATS: 1-0-0, and O/U: 1-0-0. While on the road, they stand at SU: 1-1, ATS: 1-1-0, and O/U: 0-2-0.
• Recent Performance: The Bills also had an impressive victory over the Washington Commanders, winning 37-3. They're on a 2-game winning streak and will be keen to add another W to their tally.

Raymond Report's Statistical Breakdown:

• Chances of Winning (C.O.W.): The Dolphins come in with a 48.28% chance of winning, while the Bills hold a slightly higher percentage at 51.72%.
• Chances of Covering (C.O.C.): Interestingly, the Dolphins have a 0% C.O.C., indicating they may not cover the spread. On the other hand, the Bills are at 33%, providing a slightly better outlook for bettors.
• Chances Game Going OVER (C.O.G.O.): Both teams have a 50% chance of hitting the OVER, making this bet a toss-up.
• Market Spread Value (MSV): The Dolphins have an MSV of -27.25, while the Bills are at -21. This indicates that the bookmaker's line might be overvaluing both teams.
• Psychological Value Index (PVI): The Dolphins are currently “Bullish” with a recent 3-0 streak, whereas the Bills are at a “Neutral” stance due to their 2-1 record in the last 3 games.

Betting Trends:

• The Dolphins have a noteworthy trend: The Under is 6-26-2 when they play as a 0 to 3 point Away Underdog after a 1 Home Stand since 1996.
• For the Bills, they have a mixed record when playing as a pk to -3.0 Home Favorite with 6 days off, especially when coming off against a National Conference opponent at 10-5-0 ATS and 3-12-0 for the Over/Under.

Conclusion:

The Miami Dolphins vs. Buffalo Bills game promises to be a riveting encounter. With both teams in good form and the Raymond Report providing a slew of statistical insights, bettors are armed with information to make informed decisions. As always, while stats and trends provide guidance, it's crucial to consider current team dynamics, player health, and other factors before placing any bets.