Over the past five seasons, the Arizona Cardinals have struggled to find consistency at home. With a record of 12-29-1 straight up (SU) and 18-24 against the spread (ATS), bettors have found it challenging to predict their performance. However, a closer examination of the data reveals some patterns and opportunities for savvy bettors to exploit in the upcoming 2024 season.
Home Performance Breakdown
- 2019: The Cardinals went 2-6 at home SU, 3-5 ATS, and 5-3 on the Over/Under (O/U).
- 2020: They showed slight improvement with a 4-4 SU home record, 4-4 ATS, and 7-1 O/U.
- 2021: A regression to 3-5 SU, 2-6 ATS, and 5-3 O/U.
- 2022: Consistency remained elusive with a 1-8 SU home record, 2-7 ATS, and 4-5 O/U.
- 2023: The trend continued at 2-6 SU, 3-5 ATS, and 6-2 O/U.
Overall, the Cardinals have been a more reliable bet on the Over, especially given their 27-15 O/U record over these five seasons.
Key 2024 Home Games to Watch
1. Week 2 vs. Los Angeles Rams
- Historical Insight: The Cardinals have struggled against the Rams at home, losing multiple matchups both SU and ATS.
- Betting Angle: The Rams often perform well in Arizona, making the Cardinals an underdog worth considering for the ATS, especially if the line favors the Rams heavily.
2. Week 3 vs. Detroit Lions
- Historical Insight: Arizona tied the Lions at home in 2019 but lost ATS.
- Betting Angle: This matchup tends to be high-scoring. Look for potential value on the Over, especially given the Cardinals' 27-15 O/U trend.
3. Week 4 vs. Washington Commanders
- Historical Insight: The Cardinals have an inconsistent record against Washington.
- Betting Angle: Given Washington's fluctuating performance, monitoring their form leading into this game could present a mid-season ATS opportunity.
4. Week 10 vs. New York Giants
- Historical Insight: The Cardinals have had mixed results against the Giants.
- Betting Angle: Look for live betting opportunities based on in-game momentum, as both teams have shown unpredictability.
5. Week 14 vs. Seattle Seahawks
- Historical Insight: The Seahawks have often outperformed the Cardinals in Arizona.
- Betting Angle: Seattle's consistent success makes them a strong pick for both SU and ATS in this divisional clash.
6. Week 15 vs. New England Patriots
- Historical Insight: Limited recent data against New England at home.
- Betting Angle: Evaluate the Patriots' road performance and Arizona’s late-season form for a potential ATS play.
7. Week 18 vs. San Francisco 49ers
- Historical Insight: The 49ers have dominated recent matchups in Arizona.
- Betting Angle: The 49ers are likely to be strong favorites. Consider the ATS spread and the Over if the total is set low, given both teams' scoring potential.
Conclusion
The Arizona Cardinals present an interesting case for NFL bettors. While their overall home record is less than stellar, focusing on the Over/Under trends and specific matchups can uncover valuable betting opportunities. Bettors should pay close attention to the Cardinals' divisional games and monitor their form throughout the season to capitalize on any favorable lines and in-game betting scenarios.
