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NBA Computer picks

NBA Recap and Preview for Monday, January 20th, 2025


Recap of Sunday, January 19th, 2025

  1. San Antonio Spurs vs. Miami Heat
    • Final Score: Spurs 107, Heat 128
    • C.O.C: 57%, C.O.G.O: 79%, Forecasted Total: 215.18
    • Key Takeaway: Miami dominated on both ends, covering the spread with ease. The over barely hit with Miami's offensive surge.
  2. Denver Nuggets vs. Orlando Magic
    • Final Score: Nuggets 113, Magic 100
    • C.O.C: 42%, C.O.G.O: 57%, Forecasted Total: 228.39
    • Key Takeaway: Denver's defense shined as they held Orlando well below their forecasted output. The game stayed under the total.
  3. Washington Wizards vs. Sacramento Kings
    • Final Score: Wizards 100, Kings 123
    • C.O.C: 26%, C.O.G.O: 66%, Forecasted Total: 238.98
    • Key Takeaway: Sacramento maintained control throughout, covering the spread comfortably. The game hit the under due to Washington's struggles.
  4. Los Angeles Lakers vs. Los Angeles Clippers
    • Final Score: Lakers 102, Clippers 116
    • C.O.C: 60%, C.O.G.O: 19%, Forecasted Total: 210.61
    • Key Takeaway: Clippers extended their win streak to four games, covering the spread in style. The total remained under.
  5. Philadelphia 76ers vs. Milwaukee Bucks
    • Final Score: 76ers 109, Bucks 123
    • C.O.C: 47%, C.O.G.O: 24%, Forecasted Total: 225.8
    • Key Takeaway: Milwaukee's strong offense ensured another over while easily covering the spread.
  6. Chicago Bulls vs. Portland Trail Blazers
    • Final Score: Bulls 102, Blazers 113
    • C.O.C: 77%, C.O.G.O: 73%, Forecasted Total: 226.56
    • Key Takeaway: The Blazers snapped their losing streak with a commanding win. The total went under as Chicago's offense faltered.
  7. Brooklyn Nets vs. Oklahoma City Thunder
    • Final Score: Nets 101, Thunder 127
    • C.O.C: 40%, C.O.G.O: 33%, Forecasted Total: 211.9
    • Key Takeaway: OKC's dominant showing covered the spread, and the game stayed under the forecasted total.

Preview for Monday, January 20th, 2025

  1. Dallas Mavericks vs. Charlotte Hornets
    • Spread: Mavericks -6
    • Total: 223.5
    • Forecast: Dallas 115.14, Charlotte 110.03 (O/U: 225.17)
    • Insight: Dallas looks to build on their last win, with a slight edge to the over.
  2. Detroit Pistons vs. Houston Rockets
    • Spread: Rockets -12.5
    • Total: 222.5
    • Forecast: Houston 115.38, Detroit 104.67 (O/U: 220.05)
    • Insight: Houston's offensive power should dominate, with a lean to the under.
  3. Minnesota Timberwolves vs. Memphis Grizzlies
    • Spread: Grizzlies -6
    • Total: 230.5
    • Forecast: Memphis 116.88, Minnesota 115.47 (O/U: 232.35)
    • Insight: A high-scoring game is expected, with Memphis covering the spread.
  4. Atlanta Hawks vs. New York Knicks
    • Spread: Knicks -6.5
    • Total: 235.5
    • Forecast: Knicks 120.02, Hawks 115.35 (O/U: 235.37)
    • Insight: The total is in line with forecasts, but the Knicks hold a slight edge.
  5. Phoenix Suns vs. Cleveland Cavaliers
    • Spread: Cavaliers -7.5
    • Total: 230.5
    • Forecast: Cavaliers 123.51, Suns 113.39 (O/U: 236.9)
    • Insight: Cleveland's dominance at home should continue, with a strong lean to the over.
  6. Boston Celtics vs. Golden State Warriors
    • Spread: Celtics -10
    • Total: 218.5
    • Forecast: Celtics 116.89, Warriors 108.12 (O/U: 225.01)
    • Insight: Boston should cover, with the total leaning over.
  7. Utah Jazz vs. New Orleans Pelicans
    • Spread: Pelicans -15.5
    • Total: 232.5
    • Forecast: Pelicans 124.76, Jazz 109.66 (O/U: 234.42)
    • Insight: New Orleans is in strong form, with a lean to the over.
  8. Chicago Bulls vs. Los Angeles Clippers
    • Spread: Clippers -5.5
    • Total: 227
    • Forecast: Clippers 117.62, Bulls 113.76 (O/U: 231.38)
    • Insight: Clippers continue their winning streak, with the game expected to stay under.

SBI Markets for January 20th, 2025

Straight-Up (SU) Trends

  • 1-Day: Favorites 86%, Underdogs 14% (Bullish for Favorites)
  • 3-Day: Favorites 69.7%, Underdogs 30.3% (Bullish for Favorites)
  • 7-Day: Favorites 69.9%, Underdogs 30.1% (Bullish for Favorites)

Over/Under (O/U) Trends

  • 1-Day: Over 57%, Under 43% (Neutral)
  • 3-Day: Over 63.7%, Under 36.3% (Bullish for Overs)
  • 7-Day: Over 66%, Under 34% (Bullish for Overs)

Against the Spread (ATS) Trends

  • 1-Day: Favorites 86%, Underdogs 14% (Bullish for Favorites)
  • 3-Day: Favorites 54.3%, Underdogs 45.7% (Neutral)
  • 7-Day: Favorites 53.1%, Underdogs 46.9% (Neutral)

Key Takeaways

  1. Favorites continue to dominate SU, particularly in the short-term trends.
  2. Overs are trending bullish across 3-day and 7-day windows, suggesting high-scoring games.
  3. ATS remains neutral, with no significant edge for either side.
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