NBA Game Analysis: Houston Rockets vs. Golden State Warriors (December 5, 2024)
Market Overview
The Houston Rockets are slight road favorites (-3.5, MoneyLine -156) against the Golden State Warriors, with the Total set at 221.5 points. Houston aims to maintain its strong form, while Golden State looks to break a three-game losing streak.
Key Trends & Indicators
Houston Rockets
Season Snapshot: Houston is 15-7 SU and 14-8 ATS, with a slight lean toward the Over (11-10-1 O/U).
Road Performance: The Rockets are 6-4 SU and ATS on the road, with a balanced O/U trend (5-5).
Recent Form: Houston has won 2 of its last 3 games, averaging 117.33 points per game while conceding 117 points per game.
Situational Stats: As road favorites, the Rockets are 4-1 SU and ATS, scoring 115.6 points per game and allowing 106.2 points per game.
Golden State Warriors
Season Snapshot: Golden State is 12-8 SU and 13-7 ATS, with a neutral O/U split (10-10 O/U).
Home Performance: The Warriors are 5-3 SU and 6-2 ATS at home, with an even O/U record (4-4).
Recent Form: Golden State is on a three-game losing streak, averaging 107 points per game while allowing 112.33 points per game.
Situational Stats: As home underdogs, Golden State is 1-1 SU and ATS, scoring 112.5 points per game and allowing 105.5 points per game.
Situational Stats
Category
Houston Rockets
Golden State Warriors
Road Favorite
SU: 4-1, PF: 115.6
N/A
Home Underdog
N/A
SU: 1-1, PF: 112.5
Last 3 Games
SU: 2-1, PF: 117.33
SU: 0-3, PF: 107
Last 10 Games
SU: 7-3, PF: 118.1
SU: 4-6, PF: 110.9
Market Correction Indicators
SU Market
Houston: Strong in their role as road favorites, they are positioned to capitalize on Golden State’s recent struggles.
Golden State: Despite their losing streak, the Warriors’ home resilience as underdogs could provide upset potential.
ATS Market
Houston: Reliable on the road, especially as favorites, with consistent ATS performances.
Golden State: Strong ATS record at home (6-2) suggests they could cover as underdogs if they improve offensively.
Total Market
Market Expectation: A Total of 221.5 reflects the teams' contrasting trends. Houston’s recent games lean Over, while Golden State's recent struggles have kept scores moderate.
Houston: The Over is in play due to Houston's scoring consistency on the road.
Golden State: A low-scoring trend during their losing streak might suppress the Total.
Betting Recommendations
Point Spread: Houston Rockets -3.5 Houston’s consistent road performance and Golden State’s struggles make the Rockets the preferred play.
Total: Under 221.5 Points Golden State’s offensive slump combined with Houston’s ability to control games on the road favors a lower-scoring contest.
The Houston Rockets’ form and consistency make them a strong play against the spread, while the Total leans Under due to Golden State’s offensive struggles and the tight defensive potential of both teams.
Ron Raymond
Ron Raymond is a well-known sports handicapper who runs ATS Stats and the Raymond REPORT. He has over 21 years of experience in the industry and provides expert analysis and predictions for various sports, including football, baseball, hockey, and basketball.