NBA Betting Trends for Thursday, December 19th, 2024

As we head into Thursday’s NBA slate, let's break down some of the key Head-to-Head and Team System Trends that will help guide your betting strategy. These trends highlight specific matchups and team performances that could provide an edge when placing your bets.

Head-to-Head Trends

1. Atlanta as Underdog with Total of 220 or More: Atlanta has been solid in this spot with an 8-2 ATS record and 7-3 SU. However, they’ve struggled to hit the over, posting a 4-6 O/U record in games with high totals. Expect a competitive game, but consider the under for total points.
2. LA Clippers (Home or Away) with Total of 220 or More: The Clippers are 7-3 ATS and 8-2 SU when playing in games with a high total of 220+, but they’ve struggled with the over, posting a 2-8 O/U record. A strong performance could still be expected, but betting the under seems prudent in this case.
3. Oklahoma City as Favorite vs. Southeast Division: Oklahoma City has had great success against Southeast Division teams, going 14-6 ATS and 17-3 SU. With a solid O/U record of 12-7-1, they’re a strong bet in this matchup.
4. Orlando at Home with Spread Between 4-7.5: Orlando has a solid record at home when favored by 4-7.5 points, posting a 7-3 ATS record and 8-2 SU. However, their O/U record is 4-6, so this game may lean toward a lower-scoring affair.
5. San Antonio as Home Favorite vs. Atlanta: San Antonio has dominated at home as a favorite against Atlanta, posting a strong 17-8 ATS and 22-3 SU record. They also have a solid O/U mark at 13-11-1, making them a reliable bet in this matchup.
6. Memphis as Home Favorite vs. Golden State: Memphis has been great at home, boasting a 15-9 ATS record and 20-4 SU against Golden State. However, their O/U record is 10-13-1, suggesting a lower-scoring game may be likely.
7. Indiana as Road Team vs. Phoenix: Indiana has been competitive when playing on the road against Phoenix, posting a 6-4 ATS and SU record. However, their O/U trends show struggles with a 1-9 record, so betting the under may be wise here.
8. Denver as Favorite vs. Portland: Denver has been a strong favorite against Portland, with a 21-17-2 ATS record and a dominant 32-8 SU record. They also have a solid O/U mark at 23-17, making them a great play tonight.
9. New York as Road Underdog in December: New York has been even as a road underdog in December, posting a 5-5 ATS record and 4-6 SU. With an 8-2 O/U record, this game could see a higher total.
10. Boston as Home Team with Total of 220+: Boston shows a great track record when playing at home with a total of 220 or more, posting a 54-45-1 ATS record and an impressive 81-19 SU. They also have a balanced O/U record of 56-44, making them a team to watch in this scenario.

Team System Trends

1. Memphis as Home Team with Total of 220+ and Scored 120 or Less in Back-to-Back Games: Memphis has struggled to cover in high-scoring games with back-to-back low-scoring efforts, going 10-2 ATS but only 3-8-1 O/U. Be cautious with this matchup if total points are expected to be high.
2. Oklahoma City as Road Favorite After Home Loss: Oklahoma City has been a strong performer in this spot, going 10-2 ATS and 11-1 SU when coming off a home loss. With a solid 7-5 O/U record, they could bounce back strong against their opponent.
3. Portland as Home Underdog with High Total: Portland has been more competitive as a home underdog when coming off an under, posting a 6-5 ATS record, though their SU and O/U trends suggest a struggle against high-scoring teams (9-2 O/U). A close game is expected here.
4. San Antonio as Home Favorite Coming off One-Game Homestand: San Antonio has been highly profitable in this spot, posting an 8-4 ATS record and 10-2 SU, with a solid O/U mark of 7-5. Look for another home win tonight.
5. Boston as Home Favorite Coming off Eastern Southeast Opponent Win: Boston has been successful with 3 days off after winning against an Eastern Southeast opponent, posting a 9-2 SU record. With a solid 5-6 O/U, this game could lean toward the under.
6. Dallas as Home Favorite After Allowing 121+ Points: Dallas has shown strength in bouncing back after high-scoring games, with a perfect 10-0 SU record in this scenario. Their O/U record stands at 6-4, suggesting a balanced approach for today’s matchup.

Final Thoughts

Thursday’s NBA slate features some compelling matchups with trends that can give you an edge in your betting strategy. Oklahoma City, San Antonio, and Memphis look like solid teams to back tonight, with a mix of favorable ATS and O/U trends. Boston, on the other hand, remains a dominant force at home, particularly when the total is set high. Always remember to consider both the spread and the total when making your picks, as these teams show strong patterns in certain scenarios.

Good luck, and stay tuned for more insights from ATS STATS to help you navigate today’s NBA action!