Ron Raymond’s Free MLB Baseball System Picks for Saturday, May 11th, 2024
As we head into another exciting weekend of MLB action, it's time to dive into some of the most compelling system plays that have historically offered significant betting advantages. Ron Raymond has carefully analyzed the data and identified three top picks for today based on specific game situations and performance trends.
System Play #1: Toronto's Home Field Advantage
Scenario: Home teams who scored 2 runs and allowed 3 in their last game have a strong tendency to win their next game, boasting a 14-5 SU record. This trend is even more pronounced when the team is the home favorite, improving to a remarkable 10-1 SU.
Play: Toronto Blue Jays (PK -145) vs. Minnesota Twins
Rationale: The Blue Jays fit this system perfectly, having ended their last game with the exact criteria mentioned. Given their status as the home favorite today, their historical probability of securing a win is extremely high.
System Play #2: Predicting the Pace in Arizona
Scenario #1: Home teams that scored exactly 4 runs in their last game tend to see lower scoring in their next game, with the UNDER going 25-46-2.
Scenario #2: Additionally, road teams who scored exactly 2 runs in their previous game also follow this low-scoring pattern, with the UNDER at 24-51-3.
Play: UNDER 9.0 in the Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Baltimore Orioles game
Rationale: With the Diamondbacks hosting the Orioles and both teams fitting into a pattern that favors fewer runs, the game is poised to fall below the total.
System Play #3: Cooling Down in Philadelphia
Scenario: Road teams coming off 3 consecutive games that went OVER the total tend to revert to fewer runs, with the UNDER recording an 8-21-4 mark.
Play: UNDER 7.5 in the Philadelphia Phillies vs. Miami Marlins game
Rationale: The Phillies are facing the Marlins in a situation where recent trends suggest a decline in run production, making the UNDER a prudent pick given the historical data.
Summary of Today's Top Picks
Based on Ron Raymond’s analysis, the following picks are recommended for today’s MLB games:
Toronto Blue Jays (PK -145) vs. Minnesota Twins – A strong likelihood of a win based on their scoring pattern and home advantage.
UNDER 9.0 in the Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Baltimore Orioles – Both teams' recent scoring trends suggest a lower total than the line suggests.
UNDER 7.5 in the Philadelphia Phillies vs. Miami Marlins – Following a high-scoring streak, a regression towards fewer runs is anticipated.
These picks are designed not only to enhance the enjoyment of watching MLB but also to offer strategic insights that could lead to successful betting outcomes. As always, consider these insights as part of a broader strategy, keeping in mind the unpredictability of sports.
Ron Raymond
Ron Raymond is a well-known sports handicapper who runs ATS Stats and the Raymond REPORT. He has over 21 years of experience in the industry and provides expert analysis and predictions for various sports, including football, baseball, hockey, and basketball.