Categories: MLB

Potential Profitable Betting Situations for Home and Road Favorites After Wins and Losses

Analyzing the performance of favorites in different scenarios can reveal valuable betting opportunities. Here's a detailed look at the trends observed from the chart provided:

Home Favorites After a Loss

  • Overall Record: 268 Wins – 175 Losses
  • Key Insight: Home favorites bounce back fairly well after a loss, showing a winning record.
  • Specific Trends:
  • After 2 Losses: 65 Wins – 30 Losses
    • Insight: A significant winning percentage, making it a strong situation to consider.
  • After 3 Losses: 23 Wins – 22 Losses
    • Insight: The win-loss record is almost even, indicating a potential riskier bet.
  • After 4 Losses: 9 Wins – 17 Losses
    • Insight: Home favorites struggle to recover after four consecutive losses.
  • After 5 or More Losses: 11 Wins – 5 Losses
    • Insight: A small sample size, but shows a strong winning trend.

Road Favorites After a Loss

  • Overall Record: 156 Wins – 102 Losses
  • Key Insight: Road favorites also perform well after a loss but not as strongly as home favorites.
  • Specific Trends:
  • After 2 Losses: 35 Wins – 33 Losses
    • Insight: Nearly even, suggesting caution.
  • After 3 Losses: 21 Wins – 12 Losses
    • Insight: A good winning record, worth considering.
  • After 4 Losses: 6 Wins – 5 Losses
    • Insight: A small sample size but slightly positive.
  • After 5 or More Losses: 4 Wins – 0 Losses
    • Insight: Although a very small sample, indicates potential.

Home Favorites After a Win

  • Overall Record: 299 Wins – 223 Losses
  • Key Insight: Home favorites generally continue to perform well after a win.
  • Specific Trends:
  • After 2 Wins: 78 Wins – 58 Losses
    • Insight: A positive trend, though not as strong as after losses.
  • After 3 Wins: 39 Wins – 26 Losses
    • Insight: A good winning percentage, worth considering.
  • After 4 Wins: 21 Wins – 15 Losses
    • Insight: Still positive but weaker.
  • After 5 or More Wins: 14 Wins – 5 Losses
    • Insight: Strong winning trend, particularly noteworthy.

Road Favorites After a Win

  • Overall Record: 148 Wins – 122 Losses
  • Key Insight: Road favorites have a positive but not overwhelming record after a win.
  • Specific Trends:
  • After 2 Wins: 39 Wins – 32 Losses
    • Insight: Positive but close.
  • After 3 Wins: 20 Wins – 13 Losses
    • Insight: Good winning record, worth considering.
  • After 4 Wins: 6 Wins – 14 Losses
    • Insight: Poor performance, high risk.
  • After 5 or More Wins: 1 Win – 3 Losses
    • Insight: Very poor performance, best to avoid.

Conclusion

Based on the data, here are the key situations to track for potential profits:

  1. Home Favorites After 2 Losses: With a 65-30 record, this scenario has a strong winning percentage, indicating a good opportunity.
  2. Home Favorites After 5 or More Losses: Despite the small sample size, the 11-5 record suggests a potential high-value bet.
  3. Road Favorites After 3 Losses: A solid 21-12 record makes this a worthwhile scenario.
  4. Home Favorites After 5 or More Wins: A 14-5 record is a strong indicator of continued success.

These situations present the most promising opportunities for bettors to exploit based on past performance trends.

Home and Road Favorites Record After Wins and Losses
Ron Raymond

Ron Raymond is a well-known sports handicapper who runs ATS Stats and the Raymond REPORT. He has over 21 years of experience in the industry and provides expert analysis and predictions for various sports, including football, baseball, hockey, and basketball.

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