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baseball previews

MLB Preview – Baltimore Orioles vs. Toronto Blue Jays (03/28/2025)

πŸ“ Rogers Centre, Toronto | ⏰ 7:07 PM EST
πŸ“Š Line: Blue Jays -130 | O’s +110 | Total: 8.5


🧒 Pitching Matchup: Charlie Morton vs. Kevin Gausman

Veteran right-handers take the bump in this AL East rematch, as Charlie Morton leads the Orioles into Game 2 of the series after a dominant 12-2 win over Toronto. Kevin Gausman looks to bounce back after the Jays were shelled in their home opener.


🟠 Baltimore Orioles (1-0 SU)

  • Came out swinging in Game 1, lighting up JosΓ© BerrΓ­os for 12 runs.
  • Morton makes his first start of 2025 after a strong 2024 campaign.
  • C.O.W: 43.41%
  • Market Value Index: Bullish (1 Day)
  • Trend Alert: 24-8-3 to the Over when the Orioles win Game 1 of a series on the road (last 2 years).

πŸ”΅ Toronto Blue Jays (0-1 SU)

  • Got punched in the mouth in their opener, giving up 12 runs on home soil.
  • Gausman toes the rubber in hopes of steadying the ship.
  • C.O.W: 53.95%
  • Market Value Index: Bearish (5 Days)
  • Historical Trend: 81-52 SU at home after a conference game in the last 4 years.

πŸ“Š Raymond Report Forecast:

Blue Jays 4.61 – Orioles 4.31
Projected Total: 8.92


πŸ”Ž Situational Breakdown:

  • Orioles are 1-0 as road dogs, scoring 12 and giving up just 2.
  • Jays are 0-1 as home favorites, allowing a whopping 12 runs.
  • Both teams come in off an Over, and the forecast model edges toward another potential total cash.

πŸ’‘ Betting Lean:

Lean: OVER 8.5

  • All signs point to fireworks again tonight β€” hot bats, shaky bullpen outings, and two starters still finding early-season rhythm.
  • The Orioles’ road Over trend following a Game 1 win is no joke, cashing 75% of the time over the last 2 seasons.

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