Welcome to our comprehensive MLB tipsheet for Saturday, May 11th, 2024. In today's breakdown, we provide detailed insights, predictions, and odds for each matchup in the day's exciting slate of games. Whether you're a seasoned bettor or a casual fan, our analysis, including computer-generated scores and Chances of Winning (COW) percentages, will help you understand the dynamics and potential outcomes of today's baseball action. Let's dive into the matchups and see where the best opportunities lie.
Minnesota Twins vs. Toronto Blue Jays
Time: 15:07 at Rogers Centre
Pitchers: Simeon Woods Richardson (MIN) vs. Kevin Gausman (TOR)
Computer Score: Twins 3.84 – Blue Jays 4.29
Chances of Winning (COW): Twins 46.34% – Blue Jays 61.36%
Odds: Blue Jays -142
Prediction: Toronto Blue Jays over Minnesota Twins
Insight: Despite the Twins' recent success, the Blue Jays have a higher COW and are favored to bounce back at home after their last defeat.
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Baltimore Orioles
Time: 16:05 at Oriole Park at Camden Yards
Pitchers: Ryne Nelson (ARI) vs. John Means (BAL)
Computer Score: Diamondbacks 3.94 – Orioles 5.12
COW: Diamondbacks 35.87% – Orioles 65.57%
Odds: Orioles -164
Prediction: Baltimore Orioles over Arizona Diamondbacks
Insight: Orioles show strong form and a high COW, expected to extend their winning streak against the struggling Diamondbacks.
Chicago Cubs vs. Pittsburgh Pirates
Time: 16:05 at PNC Park
Pitchers: Justin Steele (CHC) vs. Paul Skenes (PIT)
Computer Score: Cubs 4.1 – Pirates 3.78
COW: Cubs 50.94% – Pirates 43.59%
Odds: Pirates -106
Prediction: Chicago Cubs over Pittsburgh Pirates
Insight: Despite similar odds, the Cubs' slightly better form and higher COW give them the edge in this matchup.
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets
Time: 16:10 at Citi Field
Pitchers: Max Fried (ATL) vs. Christian Scott (NYM)
Computer Score: Braves 4.34 – Mets 4.0
COW: Braves 52.3% – Mets 47.38%
Odds: Braves -148
Prediction: Atlanta Braves over New York Mets
Insight: The Braves continue their strong performance with Max Fried on the mound, holding an advantage over the Mets.
New York Yankees vs. Tampa Bay Rays
Time: 16:10 at Tropicana Field
Pitchers: Nestor Cortes (NYY) vs. Zack Littell (TB)
Computer Score: Yankees 4.18 – Rays 3.89
COW: Yankees 48.79% – Rays 42.7%
Odds: Yankees -118
Prediction: New York Yankees over Tampa Bay Rays
Insight: Yankees are slightly favored with a better recent record and a higher COW, looking to extend their winning momentum.
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Miami Marlins
Time: 16:10 at Marlins Park
Pitchers: Taijuan Walker (PHI) vs. Jesus Luzardo (MIA)
Computer Score: Phillies 4.05 – Marlins 3.87
COW: Phillies 48.79% – Marlins 45.88%
Odds: Phillies -130
Prediction: Philadelphia Phillies over Miami Marlins
Insight: Phillies come off a strong win and are expected to dominate the struggling Marlins with a higher COW.
Washington Nationals vs. Boston Red Sox
Time: 16:10 at Fenway Park
Pitchers: Jake Irvin (WSH) vs. Cooper Criswell (BOS)
Computer Score: Nationals 3.66 – Red Sox 4.17
COW: Nationals 37.1% – Red Sox 51.97%
Odds: Red Sox -154
Prediction: Boston Red Sox over Washington Nationals
Insight: Despite recent losses, the Red Sox have a higher COW and are poised to bounce back against the Nationals.
Houston Astros vs. Detroit Tigers
Time: 18:10 at Comerica Park
Pitchers: Cristian Javier (HOU) vs. Tarik Skubal (DET)
Computer Score: Astros 3.15 – Tigers 3.94
COW: Astros 32.22% – Tigers 53.26%
Odds: Tigers -126
Prediction: Detroit Tigers over Houston Astros
Insight: Tigers are favored with a significantly higher COW, likely to capitalize against the Astros.
Cleveland Guardians vs. Chicago White Sox
Time: 19:10 at Guaranteed Rate Field
Pitchers: Triston McKenzie (CLE) vs. Mike Clevinger (CHW)
Computer Score: Guardians 4.94 – White Sox 3.63
COW: Guardians 65.14% – White Sox 36.36%
Odds: Guardians -158
Prediction: Cleveland Guardians over Chicago White Sox
Insight: Guardians show a substantial advantage in both COW and recent form, expected to recover from their recent losses.
Cincinnati Reds vs. San Francisco Giants
Time: 19:15 at Oracle Park
Pitchers: Nick Lodolo (CIN) vs. Mason Black (SF)
Computer Score: Reds 4.18 – Giants 3.89
COW: Reds 48.79% – Giants 42.7%
Odds: Reds -111
Prediction: Cincinnati Reds over San Francisco Giants
Insight: Reds have a higher COW and come off a recent win, while the Giants continue to struggle, enhancing the Reds' chances.
St Louis Cardinals vs. Milwaukee Brewers
Time: 19:15 at Miller Park
Pitchers: Kyle Gibson (STL) vs. Freddy Peralta (MIL)
Computer Score: Cardinals 3.85 – Brewers 3.98
COW: Cardinals 50% – Brewers 65.78%
Odds: Brewers -165
Prediction: Milwaukee Brewers over St Louis Cardinals
Insight: Brewers' higher COW and recent form indicate a strong potential to extend their winning streak against the slumping Cardinals.
Texas Rangers vs. Colorado Rockies
Time: 20:10 at Coors Field
Pitchers: Andrew Heaney (TEX) vs. Ryan Feltner (COL)
Computer Score: Rangers 6.52 – Rockies 4.99
COW: Rangers 56.82% – Rockies 43.75%
Odds: Rangers -156
Prediction: Texas Rangers over Colorado Rockies
Insight: With a substantial lead in computer score and COW, the Rangers are favored to dominate in this high-scoring environment.
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. San Diego Padres
Time: 20:40 at Petco Park
Pitchers: James Paxton (LAD) vs. Matt Waldron (SD)
Computer Score: Dodgers 4.91 – Padres 4.23
COW: Dodgers 51.86% – Padres 41.96%
Odds: Dodgers -137
Prediction: Los Angeles Dodgers over San Diego Padres
Insight: Dodgers hold a significant advantage in COW and look to rebound from their last game's narrow loss.
Kansas City Royals vs. Los Angeles Angels
Time: 21:38 at Angel Stadium
Pitchers: Cole Ragans (KC) vs. Tyler Anderson (LAA)
Computer Score: Royals 4.38 – Angels 3.87
COW: Royals 52.3% – Angels 44.17%
Odds: Royals -142
Prediction: Kansas City Royals over Los Angeles Angels
Insight: Royals come into this game with a winning streak and are expected to outperform the struggling Angels.
Oakland Athletics vs. Seattle Mariners
Time: 21:40 at T-Mobile Park
Pitchers: Joey Estes (OAK) vs. Bryce Miller (SEA)
Computer Score: Athletics 3.33 – Mariners 4.63
COW: Athletics 33.33% – Mariners 66.46%
Odds: Mariners -207
Prediction: Seattle Mariners over Oakland Athletics
Insight: Mariners are highly favored with a strong COW, likely to capitalize against the Athletics' weak recent form.
Ron Raymond
Ron Raymond is a well-known sports handicapper who runs ATS Stats and the Raymond REPORT. He has over 21 years of experience in the industry and provides expert analysis and predictions for various sports, including football, baseball, hockey, and basketball.