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MLB Baseball picks

ALDS Game 2: Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians (October 7, 2024)

After a dominant 7-0 victory in Game 1, the Cleveland Guardians look to take a commanding lead in the ALDS as they face the Detroit Tigers once again. With Tarik Skubal on the mound for Detroit and Matthew Boyd pitching for Cleveland, this pivotal Game 2 promises to be a battle of pitching, with both teams hoping to gain momentum in this best-of-five series. Let’s break down the key trends and insights from the Raymond Report for tonight’s matchup.

ALDS Game 2: Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians (October 7, 2024)

Betting Lines:

  • Detroit Tigers: -1.5 (-128)
  • Cleveland Guardians: +1.5 (+116)
  • Total (O/U): 6.0

Detroit Tigers Overview (Road Team):

  • Record: 88-77 (SU), 80-80-5 (O/U)
  • Pitcher: Tarik Skubal (18-4, 2.39 ERA, 8-2 in last 10 starts)
  • Last 10 Games: 7-3 (SU), 1-7-2 (O/U)
  • Chances of Winning (C.O.W.): 66.67%
  • Chances Game Going Over (C.O.G.O.): 77%
  • Recent Form:
  • Lost Game 1, 0-7 vs. Cleveland (Tanner Bibee)
  • Skubal’s last 3 starts: 3-0 (3 runs scored, 1.33 runs allowed per game)
  • Tigers average 3.4 runs per game in last 10 games, allowing 3.2 runs
  • Struggled offensively in recent games, averaging 2.6 runs in last 5

Cleveland Guardians Overview (Home Team):

  • Record: 93-69 (SU), 65-83-14 (O/U)
  • Pitcher: Matthew Boyd (2-2, 2.72 ERA)
  • Last 10 Games: 6-4 (SU), 1-7-2 (O/U)
  • Chances of Winning (C.O.W.): 46.15%
  • Chances Game Going Over (C.O.G.O.): 77%
  • Recent Form:
  • Won Game 1, 7-0 vs. Detroit (Tanner Bibee)
  • Boyd’s performance this season limited but solid (2.72 ERA)
  • Guardians average 4.2 runs per game in last 10 games, allowing 2.7 runs
  • Hot pitching, allowing just 2.4 runs per game in last 5 contests

Key Trends:

  • Detroit Tigers:
  • 7-3 SU in their last 10 games but have gone under the total in 7 of those
  • Skubal has been dominant, allowing just 1.33 runs in his last 3 starts
  • Tigers are 11-4 SU in their last 15 games when Skubal starts
  • Cleveland Guardians:
  • Won 6 of their last 10 games but have also seen 7 unders in their last 10
  • Guardians are 25-20 SU at home, Boyd making his postseason debut
  • Cleveland’s pitching has been stellar, allowing just 3 runs over the last 3 games

Raymond Report Tips:

  • Detroit Tigers: Skubal’s form gives the Tigers the edge, especially with Cleveland’s limited offensive output in recent games.
  • Cleveland Guardians: Boyd has been reliable, but his lack of recent starts could put the Guardians at a disadvantage against a solid Tigers offense.
  • Total Trends: The game leans heavily towards the under, with both teams hitting the under in 7 of their last 10 games.

Prediction: Tigers to bounce back and win, covering the -1.5 spread. Total likely to stay under 6.0 runs.


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