When any MLB team plays at home vs. a B-Grade opponent, the results this season have leaned toward the expected — but with a few surprise patterns savvy bettors can bank on.
🏠 SU Record: 198-130 (60.4%)
📉 O/U Record: 153-161-14 (UNDERs cashing 51.3%)
This situational trend tells us home teams are handling business, but the total is showing a slight lean toward the UNDER — a stat not to be ignored as early-season fatigue sets in.
🔥 Spotlight on the Texas Rangers
📍 When: Home vs. B-Grade Teams
✅ Straight Up: 10-3
⛔️ O/U: 1-12 (yes, 12 UNDERS!)
The Rangers have quietly become one of the sharpest fades on totals in these matchups. With an average game total of 8.46, the combined score sits at just 5.76 — nearly 3 runs under. Bettors hammering the UNDER have made a killing.
🏟️ Texas has also delivered the goods SU, covering 10 of their 13 games in this role. A rare team that’s winning and driving totals UNDER. That’s called a value window.
📊 Other Team Notes:
- New York Yankees: 8-4 SU, 7-5 O/U — Home favorites getting it done
- Boston Red Sox: 6-4 SU, but 4-5-1 O/U — Not the same UNDER edge as Texas
- Toronto Blue Jays: 8-5 SU, 7-6 O/U — Steady SU with mild OVER lean
- Baltimore Orioles: 5-6 SU, 9-2 O/U — The OVER team of this group
- Chicago White Sox: 4-8 SU, 5-5-2 O/U — Fade material with inconsistency
🧠 Raymond Report Tip:
Use the Value Index, team grades, and current cycle indicators to find soft lines. When B-Grade teams visit, don’t just look at SU — examine the psychology of the total. Texas shows us how valuable that angle can be.
📉 If the market posts a high number, but both teams are low run-producers in current cycles, the UNDER is your friend.
📲 Grab the full situational breakdowns every day at ATS STATS and follow the law of averages — not the crowd.
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