The Raymond Report: Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks (11/29/24)

Date: Friday, November 29th, 2024

Track: Gulfstream Park

Format: Data-driven insights and balanced betting strategies for each race, including win, place, show recommendations and exotic wagers.

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Race 1: Maiden Claiming ($25,000) – 5 Furlongs (All Weather)

• Top Pick (Win): (7) Tycoon Mogul (9-2) – E. Jaramillo has a 35% win rate, and Tycoon Mogul shows strong potential on the all-weather surface.
• Place: (5) Cosmo Prime (2-1) – Consistency from jockey P. Lopez adds reliability.
• Show: (3) Neshume (6-1) – Good value as a top-3 finisher with E. Gonzalez (31%).
• Joker: (6) Tonight (12-1) – An underdog to include in trifecta or superfecta plays.

Suggested Exotic Wagers:

• Exacta Box: 7/5, 5/3, 3/6.
• Trifecta Box: 7/5/3, 6/5/3.

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Race 2: Claiming ($35,000) – 1 1/16 Miles (Turf)

• Top Pick (Win): (4) Utopia Rose (5-1) – Excellent form on turf with P. Lopez aboard.
• Place: (1) Supers Lucky Lady (3-1) – J. Bravo offers reliability in middle-distance races.
• Show: (5) Beira (8-1) – Potential value for an under-the-radar place in exotics.
• Joker: (2) Miss Taptress (5-2) – Competitive odds, viable trifecta inclusion.

Suggested Exotic Wagers:

• Exacta Box: 4/1, 1/5, 5/2.
• Trifecta Box: 4/1/5, 2/1/5.

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Race 3: Maiden Claiming ($17,500) – 5 1/2 Furlongs (Dirt)

• Top Pick (Win): (3) Ruiz Junior (9-2) – Strong jockey performance by J. M. Rios (36%) supports this pick.
• Place: (1) Abuelo (9-5) – D. Van Dyke’s experience enhances this runner’s chances.
• Show: (7) Our Armen (3-1) – A solid contender for top-3 with L. Reyes aboard.
• Joker: (5) Georgeisimportant (20-1) – Longshot worth a spot in superfectas.

Suggested Exotic Wagers:

• Exacta Box: 3/1, 1/7, 7/5.
• Trifecta Box: 3/1/7, 5/1/7.

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Race 4: Starter Optional Claiming ($32,000) – 5 1/2 Furlongs (Dirt)

• Top Pick (Win): (1) Nina Abarrio (5-1) – Consistent and reliable with J. M. Rios.
• Place: (3) Vino Limone (3-1) – P. Lopez continues to deliver strong performances.
• Show: (4) Bouvier (8-1) – An intriguing value play for the show position.
• Joker: (2) Solidaria (7-2) – Another strong option for exotic combinations.

Suggested Exotic Wagers:

• Exacta Box: 1/3, 3/4, 4/2.
• Trifecta Box: 1/3/4, 2/3/4.

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Race 5: Maiden Special Weight ($60,000) – 5 Furlongs (Turf)

• Top Pick (Win): (8) Saltwater Taffy (8-1) – Strong value as an 8-1 contender under E. Jaramillo.
• Place: (3) Carnane (6-1) – Dependable turf performer with P. Lopez.
• Show: (1) U Ain’t That Lucky (15-1) – A high-risk, high-reward longshot for exotics.
• Joker: (7) Alas Doradas (8-1) – Adds depth to trifectas and superfectas.

Suggested Exotic Wagers:

• Exacta Box: 8/3, 3/1, 1/7.
• Trifecta Box: 8/3/1, 7/3/1.

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Race 6: Claiming ($8,000) – 1 Mile (Dirt)

• Top Pick (Win): (5) Supreme Dominance (8-5) – The favorite with strong form and P. Lopez.
• Place: (6) Pirate Radio (5-2) – Reliable dirt performer with M. A. Vasquez.
• Show: (3) Lady Monique (6-1) – Value play for the show position.
• Joker: (4) Federal Exchange (30-1) – A true longshot with potential.

Suggested Exotic Wagers:

• Exacta Box: 5/6, 6/3, 3/4.
• Trifecta Box: 5/6/3, 4/6/3.

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Race 7: Maiden Special Weight ($65,000) – 5 1/2 Furlongs (All Weather)

• Top Pick (Win): (6) Relator (3-1) – Solid form with E. Jaramillo in the saddle.
• Place: (3) Wakan (5-1) – Promising value at mid-range odds.
• Show: (9) Incanto (2-1) – The favorite, likely to hit the board.
• Joker: (5) Liberty Bay (8-1) – A wild card for exotic combinations.

Suggested Exotic Wagers:

• Exacta Box: 6/3, 3/9, 9/5.
• Trifecta Box: 6/3/9, 5/3/9.

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Race 8: Starter Optional Claiming ($31,000) – 5 Furlongs (All Weather)

• Top Pick (Win): (5) Heir to the Roar (2-1) – The favorite with excellent credentials.
• Place: (7) Founder’s Day (8-1) – Offers value and upside for exotics.
• Show: (4) Mywifeknowsitall (8-1) – Competitive value in a close field.
• Joker: (6) Gayles Evening (5-2) – A strong contender for exotic wagers.

Suggested Exotic Wagers:

• Exacta Box: 5/7, 7/4, 4/6.
• Trifecta Box: 5/7/4, 6/7/4.

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Race 9: Stakes ($115,000) – 7 1/2 Furlongs (Turf)

• Top Pick (Win): (4) Bucaro (5-1) – P. Lopez brings a strong edge to a competitive stakes race.
• Place: (2) Mi Bago (7-2) – Reliable and consistent with E. Gonzalez.
• Show: (10) I Know I Know (12-1) – Excellent value for the show position.
• Joker: (9) Como (12-1) – A strong longshot to round out exotic plays.

Suggested Exotic Wagers:

• Exacta Box: 4/2, 2/10, 10/9.
• Trifecta Box: 4/2/10, 9/2/10.

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Final Notes

• High-Value Plays: (1) U Ain’t That Lucky (Race 5), (4) Federal Exchange (Race 6), (10) I Know I Know (Race 9).
• Strong Favorites: (5) Supreme Dominance (Race 6), (6) Relator (Race 7), (5) Heir to the Roar (Race 8).
• Exotic Combinations: Focus on exacta and trifecta boxes for added value in races with competitive fields.

The recommendations balance favorites and longshots, emphasizing value and probability. Good luck at the track!