Welcome to today’s Smart Value Picks System for Tampa Bay Downs, where we spotlight promising opportunities for value betting. Our selections are based on a detailed analysis, considering the jockeys' last 100 “in the money” win percentages and the morning line odds. Let's dive into the races scheduled for Sunday, February 4th, 2024, with post times and top picks to watch.
12.28 PM – Race 1: Claiming, 6 Furlongs, Dirt
- Top Pick: (3) Misterchilliwilli, D Centeno (31%), 3-1 – A strong contender with impressive jockey stats.
- Underdog to Watch: (2) Joyful Ghost, R D Allen, Jr. (30%), 10-1 – Offers great value with potential for a surprise.
12.58 PM – Race 2: Maiden Claiming, 1 Mile 40 Yards, Dirt
- Solid Bet: (2) Princess Aleska, M Meneses (29%), 9-5 – Favored to win with a reliable jockey.
- Dark Horse: (3) Obstreperous, S Camacho (26%), 6-1 – Could offer a competitive edge and value.
01.28 PM – Race 3: Claiming, 6 Furlongs, Dirt
- Go-To Choice: (4) Shall Return, K Gomez (34%), 4-1 – High “in the money” percentage makes this a smart pick.
- Longshot Potential: (2) Princess Tereska, C D Lugo (29%), 20-1 – A speculative choice with high odds but intriguing potential.
01.58 PM – Race 4: Claiming, 7 Furlongs, Dirt
- Best Bet: (2) He's in Charge, R D Allen, Jr. (30%), 7-2 – Solid choice with a reputable jockey.
- Value Selection: (6) Worlds On High, S Camacho (26%), 5-2 – Offers a blend of reasonable odds and a competitive jockey.
02.28 PM – Race 5: Starter Optional Claiming, 1 Mile, Turf
- Preferred Pick: (12) Amy Mule, S Marin (33%), 6-1 – Strong jockey stats suggest a potential top finish.
- Sleeper Hit: (7) Trendy, D Centeno (31%), 8-1 – Worth considering for those looking for value beyond the favorites.
02.58 PM – Race 6: Maiden Claiming, 6 Furlongs, Dirt
- Prime Selection: (5) Venezuelan Faith, S Marin (33%), 6-1 – Marin’s performance suggests a good chance of success.
- Underdog Alert: (6) Venezuelan Feeling, M Meneses (29%), 12-1 – Offers an appealing return for those willing to take a risk.
03.29 PM – Race 7: Claiming, 1 Mile 40 Yards, Dirt
- Top Choice: (3) Bionda Suprise, R D Allen, Jr. (30%), 30-1 – A high-risk, high-reward option with massive odds.
- Steady Bet: (7) Mo Town Annie, S Camacho (26%), 5-1 – A more conservative bet with a solid chance to perform.
04.05 PM – Race 8: Claiming, 1 Mile 40 Yards, Dirt
- Smart Bet: (8) Leopardi, S Marin (33%), 15-1 – An enticing longshot with a top jockey at the helm.
- Consistent Performer: (4) The Bearrish One, D Centeno (31%), 5-2 – Centeno’s performance adds confidence to this pick.
04.40 PM – Race 9: Allowance Optional Claiming, 1 Mile 40 Yards, Dirt
- Best Option: (5) The Isabel Astray, C D Lugo (29%), 20-1 – A speculative pick with potential for a huge payoff.
- Reliable Selection: (1) Domineering, S Camacho (26%), 6-1 – Offers a mix of decent odds and a strong jockey track record.
Tampa Bay Downs presents a series of races with numerous betting opportunities for value seekers. Our analysis focuses on leveraging jockey performance and odds to guide selections, aiming to maximize potential returns. Keep an eye on our top picks and underdogs for a chance to uncover hidden gems at the track. Happy betting at Tampa Bay Downs!