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LEAGUE:-RAYMOND REPORT LITE (NHL)

Ottawa Senators (5.5) vs. Washington Capitals (-156) Preview (03/03/2025)


Ottawa Senators +1.5   ( +139 ) Vs. Washington Capitals (Total:5.5) Washington Capitals -1.5  ( -156 ) Vs. Ottawa Senators (Total:5.5)
Ottawa Senators
Ottawa Senators
O/U :5.5 		Vs.
Date: 2025-03-03
Time: 19:30:00
Generated from 58
Previous Games
Washington Capitals
Washington Capitals
SIDE :-156
2.66 Forecast
(O/U 5.69 )		 3.03
5-5 L10(SU) 4-6
5-5-0 L10(ATS) 4-6-0
8-2-0 L10(O/U) 8-2-0
40.69% C.O.W 55.37%
52% C.O.G.O 52%
-298 DMVI -173
(B) BEARISH(5 D) PVI - SOS (A) NEUTRAL(30 D)
2-5 SU 2-4
2-5-0 ATS 4-2-0
3-3-1 O/U 2-4-0
Understanding Key Sports Betting Stats and Abbreviations
C.O.W. (Chances of Winning)

This is a percentage that predicts a team's likelihood of winning their next game outright (straight up, or SU). It's calculated using a team's recent and historical win/loss record, processed through a mathematical model. The result helps you decide if betting on that team to win offers good value.

C.O.C. (Chances of Covering)

This percentage shows how likely a team is to beat the point spread (ATS) in their next game, not just win outright. It's based on their short- and long-term ATS win/loss record, run through a math predictor. It tells you if there's betting value in wagering on them to cover the spread.

C.O.G.O. (Chances Game Going OVER)

This predicts the odds of the total points scored by both teams exceeding the over/under line set by bookmakers. It uses both teams short- and long-term over/under records, analyzed by a math model. For example, a 60% C.O.G.O. means there's a 40% chance the game goes UNDER, helping you assess value on the over/under bet.

L.O.A. (Law of Average)

Based on the idea that outcomes tend to even out over time (the 50/50 theory), this suggests betting on a team that lost their last game (either ATS or SU) against a team that won their last game (ATS or SU). It's a strategy to capitalize on streaks potentially reversing.

MSV (Market Spread Value)

This is a calculated point spread we determine through research, compared to the bookmaker's line. By analyzing the gap between past game results, the bookmaker's spread, and our projections, MSV estimates what the spread should be for the next game, highlighting potential betting edges.

PVI (Performance Value Index)

This reflects the betting public's perception of a team based on their last 7 games:

  • Bullish: Team is hot (7-0, 6-1, or 5-2) - high confidence.
  • Neutral: Team is average (4-3 or 3-4) - moderate confidence.
  • Bearish: Team is struggling (0-7, 1-6, or 2-5) - low confidence.

    • It shows how team momentum might influence betting trends.

    Types of Teams (Based on League Standings)

    Teams are grouped into tiers by their season win percentage:

  • Tier 1 (A): 60%+ win rate - Above-average teams with high public confidence but lower betting rewards.
  • Tier 2 (B): 50% - 59.9% win rate - Average teams with moderate confidence and medium rewards.
  • Tier 3 (C): Below 49.9%-win rate - Below-average teams with low confidence but higher potential rewards due to underdog status.
    • ________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________

    These stats are tools to help you analyze games beyond basic win/loss records, giving you an edge when betting against the spread, on totals, or picking winners.

    Raymond Report

    Ottawa Senators Washington Capitals
    Line : +1.5 Line : -1.5
    MoneyLine : +139 MoneyLine : -156
    O/U : 5.5 O/U : 5.5
    Season Record : Season Record :
    SU: 30-29  ATS: 24-35-0  O/U: 25-32-2
    SU: 38-22 ATS: 36-24-0 O/U: 29-28-3
    Home Record : Home Record :
    SU: 17-11  ATS: 10-18-0  O/U: 14-13-1
    SU: 18-13 ATS: 17-14-0 O/U: 15-14-2
    Away Record : Away Record :
    SU: 13-18  ATS: 14-17-0  O/U: 11-19-1
    SU: 20-9 ATS: 19-10-0 O/U: 14-14-1
    Last game: Won 3 - 5 vs San Jose Sharks Last game: Lost 3 - 1 vs Tampa Bay Lightning
    SU: 1-17 ATS: 5-14-0 O/U: 9-9-1
    SU: 21-17 ATS: 14-24-0 O/U: 14-20-4
    Current game: vs. Washington Capitals Current game: vs. Ottawa Senators
    SU: 18-28  ATS: 26-21-1  O/U: 22-23-3
    SU: 28-18 ATS: 21-26-1 O/U: 22-23-3
    Next Game: At CHICAGO Next Game: At NY RANGERS
    SU: 5-4  ATS: 7-2-0  O/U: 4-5-0
    SU: 21-19 ATS: 17-23-0 O/U: 17-22-1
    Days Rest : 1 (Road) Days Rest : 1 (Home)
    (L) SU:  (230-273-0 )  ATS:  (247-256-0 )  O/U: (259-228-16)
    (L) SU: ( 306-248-0) ATS:  (271-283-0) O/U: (260-268-26)
    (T) SU: (8-7)  ATS: (7-8-0)  O/U: (6-9-0)
    (T) SU: (10-8) ATS: (9-9-0) O/U: (7-9-2)
    Streaks : 1 SU Win - 1 ATS Win - 1 Over Streaks : 3 SU Lost - 3 ATS Lost - 1 Under
    Road Teams Strength of Schedule last 7 games: 63.27% Home Teams Strength of Schedule last 7 games: 51.02%
    Situational Stats Situational Stats
    Home Favorite: 14 Win -9 Lost   (GF)3.48 - (GA)2.83 Home Favorite: 12 Win -9 Lost   (GF)3.57 - (GA)2.81
    Home Underdog: 3 Win -2 Lost   (GF)2.6 - (GA)2.8 Home Underdog: 6 Win -4 Lost   (GF)3.5 - (GA)2.7
    Road Favorite: 4 Win -5 Lost   (GF)2.44 - (GA)2.56 Road Favorite: 7 Win -4 Lost   (GF)3.64 - (GA)2.18
    Road Underdog: 9 Win -13 Lost   (GF)2.32 - (GA)3 Road Underdog: 13 Win -5 Lost   (GF)3.61 - (GA)2.61
    Last 3 game: 1 Win 2 Lost    (GF)2.67 - (GA)4 Last 3 game: 0 Win 3 Lost    (GF)1.33 - (GA)3.67
    Last 5 game: 1 Win 4 Lost    (GF)2 - (GA)4.4 Last 5 game: 2 Win 3 Lost    (GF)3.8 - (GA)3.4
    Last 7 game: 2 Win 5 Lost   (GF)2.57 - (GA)4 Last 7 game: 3 Win 4 Lost   (GF)3.86 - (GA)3.57
    Last 10 game: 5 Win 5 Lost   (GF)3.2 - (GA)3.3 Last 10 game: 4 Win 6 Lost   (GF)4.1 - (GA)3.8
    Last 15 game: 8 Win 7 Lost   (GF)2.8 - (GA)3.13 Last 15 game: 8 Win 7 Lost   (GF)3.67 - (GA)2.93
    Situations (Ottawa Senators) Situations (Washington Capitals)
    Coming off a home fav win Coming off a vs. Atlantic division Opponent.
    Coming off 1 game winning streak Coming off a home underdog lost
    Coming off 1 over Coming off a 3 game losing streak
    Scored 5 or more goals FOR in last game Coming off 1 under
    Scored 3 or less goals AGAINST in last game Scored 1 goal FOR in last game
    Coming off a scored 3 goals AGAINST in last game Scored 3 or more goals AGAINST in last game
    Coming off a scored 5 goals FOR in last game Coming off a scored 3 goals AGAINST in last game
    Coming off a 2 goal win Coming off a scored 1 goal FOR in last game
    Coming off 3 game home stand Coming off 4 game home stand
    Coming off 1 day off Coming off 1 day off
    Trends Trends
    The Under is 3-14-0 for Senators when played as Away Team Coming off 1 Winning Streak Last 2 Years
    Query ATS SU O/U
    When WASHINGTON team Played as Home team as a Favorite - Total is 5.5 - During the month of March - Allowed 3 goals AGAINST in their last game 5-6-0 9-2 8-3-0