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LEAGUE:-RAYMOND REPORT LITE (NBA)

Golden State Warriors (4.5) vs. Orlando Magic (212.5) Preview (02/27/2025)


Golden State Warriors -4.5   ( -192 ) Vs. Orlando Magic (Total:212.5) Orlando Magic +4.5  ( +171 ) Vs. Golden State Warriors (Total:212.5)
Golden State Warriors
Golden State Warriors
SIDE :4.5
Vs.
Date: 2025-02-27
Time: 20:00:00
Generated from 36
Previous Games
Orlando Magic
Orlando Magic
O/U :212.5
108.72 Forecast
(O/U 212.24 )
103.52
7-3 L10(SU) 5-5
7-3-0 L10(ATS) 5-5-0
6-4-0 L10(O/U) 4-6-0
60% C.O.W 34.15%
22% C.O.C 43%
61% C.O.G.O 61%
-1.73 MSV 1.6
(B) BULLISH(4 D) PVI - SOS (C) NEUTRAL(15 D)
5-2 SU 3-3
4-3-0 ATS 4-2-0
4-3-0 O/U 4-2-0
Understanding Key Sports Betting Stats and Abbreviations
C.O.W. (Chances of Winning)

This is a percentage that predicts a team's likelihood of winning their next game outright (straight up, or SU). It's calculated using a team's recent and historical win/loss record, processed through a mathematical model. The result helps you decide if betting on that team to win offers good value.

C.O.C. (Chances of Covering)

This percentage shows how likely a team is to beat the point spread (ATS) in their next game, not just win outright. It's based on their short- and long-term ATS win/loss record, run through a math predictor. It tells you if there's betting value in wagering on them to cover the spread.

C.O.G.O. (Chances Game Going OVER)

This predicts the odds of the total points scored by both teams exceeding the over/under line set by bookmakers. It uses both teams short- and long-term over/under records, analyzed by a math model. For example, a 60% C.O.G.O. means there's a 40% chance the game goes UNDER, helping you assess value on the over/under bet.

L.O.A. (Law of Average)

Based on the idea that outcomes tend to even out over time (the 50/50 theory), this suggests betting on a team that lost their last game (either ATS or SU) against a team that won their last game (ATS or SU). It's a strategy to capitalize on streaks potentially reversing.

MSV (Market Spread Value)

This is a calculated point spread we determine through research, compared to the bookmaker's line. By analyzing the gap between past game results, the bookmaker's spread, and our projections, MSV estimates what the spread should be for the next game, highlighting potential betting edges.

PVI (Performance Value Index)

This reflects the betting public's perception of a team based on their last 7 games:

  • Bullish: Team is hot (7-0, 6-1, or 5-2) - high confidence.
  • Neutral: Team is average (4-3 or 3-4) - moderate confidence.
  • Bearish: Team is struggling (0-7, 1-6, or 2-5) - low confidence.

  • It shows how team momentum might influence betting trends.

    Types of Teams (Based on League Standings)

    Teams are grouped into tiers by their season win percentage:

  • Tier 1 (A): 60%+ win rate - Above-average teams with high public confidence but lower betting rewards.
  • Tier 2 (B): 50% - 59.9% win rate - Average teams with moderate confidence and medium rewards.
  • Tier 3 (C): Below 49.9%-win rate - Below-average teams with low confidence but higher potential rewards due to underdog status.
  • ________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________

    These stats are tools to help you analyze games beyond basic win/loss records, giving you an edge when betting against the spread, on totals, or picking winners.

    Raymond Report

    Golden State Warriors Orlando Magic
    Line : -4.5 Line : +4.5
    MoneyLine : -192 MoneyLine : +171
    O/U : 212.5 O/U : 212.5
    Season Record : Season Record :
    SU: 31-27  ATS: 33-25-0  O/U: 29-29-0
    SU: 29-31 ATS: 29-31-0 O/U: 24-36-0
    Home Record : Home Record :
    SU: 17-13  ATS: 16-14-0  O/U: 16-14-0
    SU: 18-12 ATS: 17-13-0 O/U: 11-19-0
    Away Record : Away Record :
    SU: 14-14  ATS: 17-11-0  O/U: 13-15-0
    SU: 11-19 ATS: 12-18-0 O/U: 13-17-0
    Last game: Won 92 - 128 vs Charlotte Hornets Last game: Lost 122 - 82 vs Cleveland Cavaliers
    SU: 16-11 ATS: 14-14-0 O/U: 17-11-0
    SU: 29-15 ATS: 26-19-0 O/U: 21-22-2
    Current game: vs. Orlando Magic Current game: vs. Golden State Warriors
    SU: 9-17  ATS: 11-15-0  O/U: 11-14-1
    SU: 17-9 ATS: 15-11-0 O/U: 11-14-1
    Next Game: At PHILADELPHIA Next Game: Vs. TORONTO
    SU: 8-16  ATS: 11-14-0  O/U: 12-13-0
    SU: 23-16 ATS: 18-22-0 O/U: 19-20-1
    Days Rest : 1 (-3.5/-6.0 RF) Days Rest : 1 (3.5/6.0 HD)
    (L) SU:  (35-18-1 ATS:  (26-26-2 )  O/U: (26-28-0)
    (L) SU: ( 24-36-2) ATS:  (34-25-3) O/U: (27-35-0)
    (T) SU: (0-0)  ATS: (0-0-1)  O/U: (0-1-0)
    (T) SU: (0-0) ATS: (0-0-1) O/U: (0-1-0)
    Streaks : 4 SU Win - 4 ATS Win - 1 Over Streaks : 1 SU Lost - 1 ATS Lost - 3 Under
    Road Teams Strength of Schedule last 7 games: 51.02% Home Teams Strength of Schedule last 7 games: 40.82%
    Situational Stats Situational Stats
    Home Favorite: 14 Win -7 Lost   (PF)116.52 - (PA)110.38 Home Favorite: 17 Win -4 Lost   (PF)108.24 - (PA)100.62
    Home Underdog: 3 Win -6 Lost   (PF)102.56 - (PA)111.78 Home Underdog: 1 Win -8 Lost   (PF)96 - (PA)107.78
    Road Favorite: 9 Win -5 Lost   (PF)116.64 - (PA)106.71 Road Favorite: 7 Win -6 Lost   (PF)101.62 - (PA)102.38
    Road Underdog: 5 Win -9 Lost   (PF)109.86 - (PA)115.93 Road Underdog: 4 Win -12 Lost   (PF)103.56 - (PA)111.94
    Last 3 game: 3 Win 0 Lost    (PF)128.67 - (PA)100.67 Last 3 game: 1 Win 2 Lost    (PF)98.67 - (PA)105.67
    Last 5 game: 4 Win 1 Lost    (PF)119.6 - (PA)102.2 Last 5 game: 3 Win 2 Lost    (PF)102.4 - (PA)102.2
    Last 7 game: 6 Win 1 Lost   (PF)122.14 - (PA)104.71 Last 7 game: 4 Win 3 Lost   (PF)104.29 - (PA)104.86
    Last 10 game: 7 Win 3 Lost   (PF)119.9 - (PA)108.3 Last 10 game: 5 Win 5 Lost   (PF)104.9 - (PA)106.1
    Last 15 game: 10 Win 5 Lost   (PF)118.2 - (PA)109.93 Last 15 game: 6 Win 9 Lost   (PF)103.8 - (PA)108.8
    Situations (Golden State Warriors) Situations (Orlando Magic)
    Coming off a vs. Southeast Opponent. Coming off a vs. Central Opponent.
    Coming off a home fav win Coming off a home underdog lost
    Coming off a 4 game winning streak Coming off a 1 game losing streak
    Coming off 1 over Coming off 3 unders
    Scored 120 or more points FOR in their last game Scored 85 or less points FOR in their last game
    Allowed 95 or less points AGAINST in their last game Allowed 120 or more points AGAINST in their last game
    Coming off 2 game home stand Coming off 3 game home stand
    Coming off 4 ATS win Coming off 1 ATS lost
    After 1 day off After 1 day off
    Trends Trends
    The Under is 1-9-0 for Warriors when played as Away Team with Total between 210.5 and 215 Last 4 Years
    Query ATS SU O/U
    When ORLANDO team played as a Home team - Last 3 years - After a conference game - Coming off 1 ATS lost 8-7-0 7-8 3-12-0