Why This Matters:
For college football enthusiasts and bettors, understanding specific situational trends can offer a competitive edge. This detailed analysis focuses on the Arkansas Razorbacks' performance as home underdogs over recent seasons.
Performance Breakdown:
When the Arkansas Razorbacks play as home underdogs, their results are as follows:
- Against the Spread (ATS): 14-11-0
- Straight Up (SU): 7-18
- Over/Under (O/U): 13-12-0
Detailed Game Analysis:
| Date | Week | Home | Road | Line | Total | HS | RS | ATS Winner | SU Winner | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-11-24 | 15 | Arkansas | Missouri | 8.50 | 54.50 | 14 | 48 | Missouri | Missouri | Over |
| 2023-09-30 | 7 | Arkansas | Texas A&M | 6.50 | 53.50 | 22 | 34 | Texas A&M | Texas A&M | Over |
| 2022-11-19 | 14 | Arkansas | Mississippi | 1.00 | 67.50 | 42 | 27 | Arkansas | Arkansas | Over |
| 2022-11-12 | 13 | Arkansas | LSU | 5.50 | 58.50 | 10 | 13 | Arkansas | LSU | Under |
| 2022-10-01 | 7 | Arkansas | Alabama | 17.00 | 61.50 | 26 | 49 | Alabama | Alabama | Over |
| 2021-09-25 | 5 | Arkansas | Texas A&M | 5.50 | 46.50 | 20 | 10 | Arkansas | Arkansas | Under |
| 2021-09-11 | 3 | Arkansas | Texas | 5.50 | 57.50 | 40 | 21 | Arkansas | Arkansas | Over |
| 2020-12-12 | 15 | Arkansas | Alabama | 23.50 | 69.50 | 3 | 52 | Alabama | Alabama | Under |
| 2020-11-21 | 12 | Arkansas | LSU | 2.00 | 65.50 | 24 | 27 | LSU | LSU | Under |
| 2020-11-07 | 10 | Arkansas | Tennessee | 2.00 | 54.50 | 24 | 13 | Arkansas | Arkansas | Under |
| 2020-10-17 | 7 | Arkansas | Mississippi | 4.00 | 77.00 | 33 | 21 | Arkansas | Arkansas | Under |
| 2020-09-26 | 4 | Arkansas | Georgia | 26.00 | 51.00 | 10 | 37 | Georgia | Georgia | Under |
| 2019-11-29 | 14 | Arkansas | Missouri | 14.00 | 53.00 | 14 | 24 | Arkansas | Missouri | Under |
| 2019-11-02 | 10 | Arkansas | Mississippi State | 7.00 | 58.50 | 24 | 54 | Miss. St. | Miss. St. | Over |
| 2019-10-19 | 8 | Arkansas | Auburn | 19.00 | 55.50 | 10 | 51 | Auburn | Auburn | Over |
| 2018-11-10 | 12 | Arkansas | LSU | 12.50 | 50.00 | 17 | 24 | Arkansas | LSU | Under |
| 2018-10-13 | 8 | Arkansas | Mississippi | 6.50 | 67.00 | 33 | 37 | Arkansas | Miss. | Over |
| 2018-10-06 | 7 | Arkansas | Alabama | 35.00 | 58.50 | 31 | 65 | Arkansas | Alabama | Over |
| 2017-11-24 | 14 | Arkansas | Missouri | 9.50 | 69.50 | 45 | 48 | Arkansas | Missouri | Over |
| 2017-11-18 | 13 | Arkansas | Mississippi State | 14.00 | 56.00 | 21 | 28 | Arkansas | Miss. St. | Under |
| 2017-10-21 | 9 | Arkansas | Auburn | 17.00 | 51.00 | 20 | 52 | Auburn | Auburn | Over |
| 2016-11-12 | 11 | Arkansas | LSU | 7.00 | 46.50 | 10 | 38 | LSU | LSU | Over |
| 2016-11-05 | 10 | Arkansas | Florida | 3.50 | 44.50 | 31 | 10 | Arkansas | Arkansas | Under |
| 2016-10-15 | 7 | Arkansas | Mississippi | 9.00 | 65.00 | 34 | 30 | Arkansas | Arkansas | Under |
| 2016-10-08 | 6 | Arkansas | Alabama | 14.50 | 48.50 | 30 | 49 | Alabama | Alabama | Over |
Betting Insights:
- ATS Performance: Arkansas has a solid ATS record at 14-11-0 as home underdogs, suggesting they often outperform expectations.
- SU Performance: Their SU record is less impressive at 7-18, indicating they struggle to win outright in these situations.
- High-Scoring Games: With a 13-12-0 record for the OVER, many games tend to be high-scoring.
Notable Trends:
- Underdogs of 7 Points or Less: Arkansas is 8-4 ATS when the line is 7 points or less, indicating a tendency to cover in closer matchups.
- Games Against Top-Ranked Teams: Against top-ranked opponents, Arkansas is 5-3 ATS but only 1-7 SU, showing they often cover the spread but struggle to win outright.
Recommendation:
- Bet on the Spread: Given Arkansas' tendency to cover the spread, consider betting on them ATS as home underdogs.
- Consider the OVER: The slight trend towards high-scoring games makes betting on the OVER a potential value play.
Conclusion:
Understanding Arkansas’ performance as home underdogs provides valuable insights for betting strategies. Focus on betting ATS, with an eye on the OVER for high-scoring potential.
