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College Football Game Day Breakdown: September 21, 2024

As we gear up for a thrilling Saturday of college football, we've got some exciting matchups featuring high stakes and intriguing betting angles. Here's a breakdown of some key games, their trends, and the stats that should guide your betting picks for today. Let’s dive into the action!


North Carolina State Wolfpack vs. Clemson Tigers

Spread: Clemson -18.5 | O/U: 44 | Kickoff: 12:00 PM

The Wolfpack are coming off a tough 23-20 loss to the UNLV Rebels, and their current form isn’t promising, with an overall record of 1-1 and an 0-2 ATS mark in the last five games. They’ve been involved in high-scoring games, hitting the Over in both of their matchups so far this season. However, with a VI of 10.5 and COGO (Chances of Going Over) of only 25%, a lower-scoring game may be in the cards today.

Meanwhile, Clemson, after a heartbreaker 38-34 loss to Pittsburgh, will look to bounce back at home. Despite being 1-1 on the season, they’ve covered once in their last two games. With Clemson’s heavy favorite status at -18.5, bettors should watch for a potential blowout. Clemson's VIC (Volatility Index) is NEUTRAL, suggesting there’s a decent chance they hold their ground.

Betting Tip: Clemson covers, but beware of the total. The O/U at 44 looks tight with a lot of under potential on the Wolfpack side.


Houston Cougars vs. Cincinnati Bearcats

Spread: Cincinnati -3.5 | O/U: 48 | Kickoff: 12:00 PM

Houston is fresh off a commanding 49-17 win over the Akron Zips and currently sits at 1-2 SU. Despite their scoring prowess last game, the Cougars have hit the Under in all three matchups so far this season. Their last five showings reflect that as well, with the Under cashing in every time. However, Houston's COGO of 100% might indicate today could finally break the Under trend.

Cincinnati, on the other hand, is riding high after a 37-17 win over Old Dominion. Despite being favored by just 3.5 points, they’ve been solid at home with a strong VIC indicating a more volatile game, but the Bearcats seem well-positioned to handle a Houston team that has struggled.

Betting Tip: The Bearcats to cover, and cautiously lean toward the Over here despite both teams’ current O/U struggles.


Ohio Bobcats vs. Kentucky Wildcats

Spread: Kentucky -19.5 | O/U: 42.5 | Kickoff: 12:45 PM

The Bobcats are looking strong after a dominant 33-7 win over Rice, with a 2-1 SU record. But their games have mostly hit the Under, with just one over in their first three. With a COGO of 84%, the likelihood of this game going Over is high, but the Bobcats' defense might keep things lower.

Kentucky is fresh off a heartbreaking 28-27 loss to Pittsburgh. At 1-2 SU and 2-1 ATS, the Wildcats have struggled to find consistency. The key here is their defense, which has led to all three of their games this season going Under. Kentucky has a VIC of NEUTRAL, but a COGO of 84% suggests this could be the game where the Over finally hits.

Betting Tip: Kentucky to cover, and the Over might be the play here.


Ball State Cardinals vs. Central Michigan Chippewas

Spread: Central Michigan -6.5 | O/U: 51 | Kickoff: 1:00 PM

Ball State is coming off an absolute demolition, beating their namesake (Ball State) 62-0. With that kind of high-scoring output, their Over record is now 2-0. They’ll look to continue the momentum, but their COGO of just 25% suggests the scoring may cool down a bit.

Central Michigan is 0-2 SU this season but managed to secure a big win last week against Southern Mississippi, 49-24. The Chippewas have covered once in their last two games, and with a VIC reading BEARISH, the expectation is for a more controlled, lower-scoring affair.

Betting Tip: Central Michigan to cover and a slight lean toward the Under in this matchup.


Arkansas State Red Wolves vs. Iowa State Cyclones

Spread: Iowa State -21 | O/U: 52 | Kickoff: 2:00 PM

Arkansas State pulled off a massive 71-0 win over Kent State last week, boosting their SU record to 2-1. Despite that offensive explosion, they’ve hit the Under in two of their three games so far, and with a COGO of just 59%, today might not be a high-scoring affair.

Iowa State, on the other hand, is 2-0 SU and looking strong after a 34-19 victory over Tulane. Their games have been balanced with an O/U split of 1-1, and with a VIC of BULLISH, they might cover the 21-point spread easily, especially against a Red Wolves defense that’s inconsistent.

Betting Tip: Iowa State to cover and lean toward the Under in this game.


Final Thoughts:

Saturday's slate is filled with intriguing matchups and betting angles. Whether you're looking to bet on spreads, totals, or money lines, these trends provide some strong guidance. Keep an eye on totals where the COGO is high, and look for teams like Clemson and Iowa State to cover large spreads.


For more insights, stats, and free reports, head over to www.atsstats.com to give yourself the edge in today's action!

#CollegeFootball #NCAAFBets #BettingTrends #CFB2024 #ATSStats #FootballSaturday #WinningBets

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