The art of sports handicapping often extends beyond the realm of simply backing winners. For experts like Ron Raymond, finding teams that consistently perform against the spread (ATS) can be equally profitable. As the 2023 College Football season commenced, Raymond identified certain ‘under the radar' teams. These were squads that had a losing straight-up (SU) record the previous year, but a winning ATS record. Let’s delve into how these teams have fared so far.
# | Team | SU | ATS | Opponent | Spread | Moneyline | Result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Georgia Tech | 2-2 | 2-2-0 | at Wake Forest | +3.5 | 154 | 30-16 |
2 | Kansas | 4-0 | 3-1-0 | BYU | -8.5 | -333 | 38-27 |
3 | Missouri | 4-0 | 3-1-0 | Memphis | -6.0 | -230 | 34-27 |
4 | Connecticut | 0-4 | 1-3-0 | Duke | +21.5 | 950 | 7-41 |
5 | Southern Mississippi | 1-3 | 1-3-0 | at Arkansas State | -7 | -265 | 37-44 |
6 | Rice | 2-2 | 3-1-0 | at South Florida | -2.5 | -135 | 29-42 |
7 | Army | 2-2 | 3-1-0 | at Syracuse | +13.5 | 425 | 16-29 |
8 | Navy | 1-2 | 1-2-0 | Bye | N/A | N/A | N/A |
9 | Temple | 2-2 | 1-3-0 | Miami | +23.5 | 1200 | 7-41 |
10 | Akron | 1-3 | 2-2-0 | at Indiana | +16.5 | 600 | 27-29 |
11 | Western Michigan | 1-3 | 1-3-0 | at Toledo | +21 | 900 | 31-49 |
12 | UNLV | 3-1 | 4-0-0 | at UTEP | -2.5 | -130 | 45-28 |
13 | California | 2-2 | 2-2-0 | at Washington | +21.0 | 750 | 32-59 |
14 | Washington State | 4-0 | 3-1-0 | Oregon State | +3 | 124 | 38-35 |
15 | Hawaii | 2-3 | 3-2-0 | New Mexico State | -3 | -155 | 20-17 |
For bettors, these insights are invaluable. The idea isn't always to back the outright winners but to find value. Teams like UNLV and Rice, for instance, have shown that they can be relied upon to either win or at least challenge the spread consistently.
However, as always, past performance is not always indicative of future results. It's crucial to keep abreast of team news, form, and other influencing factors when placing bets.
Lastly, it's worth noting that while these “under the radar” teams have proven their mettle against the spread, there's a reason they remain under the radar. Bettors must tread carefully and assess risks against potential rewards.
In conclusion, Ron Raymond's approach to identifying undervalued teams based on their ATS performance, regardless of their SU record from the previous year, provides a different and potentially lucrative perspective for those in the sports betting arena. As the season progresses, it will be interesting to see how these teams continue to perform against the expectations set by the oddsmakers.
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