In a thrilling Friday night showdown, the PAC 12 is set to ignite with the #10 ranked Utah Utes squaring off against the #19 Oregon State Beavers. Both teams have shown significant promise early in the season, but this clash is set to test their mettle and provide fans with a potential preview of playoff intensity. Using insights from the Raymond Report sports handicapping tipsheet, let's dive deep into what we can expect from this blockbuster matchup on September 29, 2023.
Kickoff Time: 21:00:00
Venue: Reser Stadium
Teams Overview:
- Utah Utes
- Current Season Record: 4-0 SU; ATS: 2-1-1; O/U: 0-4-0
- Last game: Victory 7 – 14 against UCLA Bruins
- On the road: 1-0 SU; ATS: 0-0-1; O/U: 0-1-0
- Oregon State Beavers
- Current Season Record: 3-1 SU; ATS: 2-2-0; O/U: 3-1-0
- Last game: Loss 38 – 35 to Washington State Cougars
- At home: 2-0 SU; ATS: 1-1-0; O/U: 1-1-0
Raymond Report Analysis:
- Utah Utes
- C.O.W: 42.72% (Chances of Winning)
- C.O.C: 42% (Chances of Covering the Spread)
- C.O.G.O: 67% (Chances the Game Going OVER)
- Oregon State Beavers
- C.O.W: 62.07%
- C.O.C: 67%
- C.O.G.O: 67%
Note: Both teams have a 67% chance of the game going OVER, indicating a potential high-scoring affair.
Utah's recent performance, marked by 4 straight wins and 3 consecutive unders, showcases their defensive prowess, holding opponents to an average of 9.5 points over their last 5 games. This contrasts with the Oregon State Beavers who, despite a recent setback against Washington State, have been racking up an impressive average of 38.67 points in their recent matchups.
Situation Highlights:
- Utah Utes
- Coming off a home favorite win
- Riding a 4-game winning streak and 4 consecutive unders
- Scored 14 or more points in the last game and allowed 7 points or less
- Oregon State Beavers
- Coming off a road favorite loss
- Coming off 1 over
- Scored 35 points or less in their last outing and allowed 38 points or more
- Consecutive ATS losses in their last 2 games
System Trends:
Teams playing as a Home Favorite after a conference game, in September, coming off a 1 game loss by a 0-3 point margin historically tend to win the match straight up 20-1 and cover the spread 14-7-0, based on historical data. This may favor Oregon State in this matchup.
Prediction:
Considering the statistical data and the situational trends, while Utah comes in undefeated and shows remarkable defensive strength, the Beavers possess an explosive offense, especially at home. The Beavers' recent ATS struggles might make Utah an appealing bet, especially with the points. However, the Over/Under trends point toward the potential for a higher-scoring game, considering both teams' C.O.G.O at 67%.
It will be a clash of Utah's defense against Oregon State's offense, making this one of the most anticipated PAC 12 showdowns of the week.
