This value report assesses the performance and expected market value of A-type teams when playing as favorites against A, B, and C-type teams. Using the Raymond Report Value Chart, we can better understand which teams present value in specific scenarios.
Key Insights
- The values represent average odds from past matchups in corresponding scenarios.
- Negative values indicate expected favorite odds, with smaller negative values suggesting better value as a favorite.
- Trends across opponent types (A, B, C) and locations (Home, Road) offer a roadmap for identifying under- or overvalued teams.
Top Teams Overview
1. Winnipeg Jets (A)
- Home vs. A: -125.67 (Good value as a favorite, competitive odds for A-type opponents).
- Home vs. C: -200.13 (Priced heavily against weaker C-types, indicating lower value).
- Road vs. C: -158.7 (Still moderately priced as a road favorite).
- Takeaway: Strong home value vs. A-type teams. Road games vs. C teams offer manageable odds.
2. Washington Capitals (A)
- Home vs. A: -156.67 (Less favorable odds compared to other teams at home against A-types).
- Home vs. C: -187.57 (Consistent heavy pricing vs. weaker opponents).
- Road vs. C: -154.33 (Decent road value for games against C-types).
- Takeaway: Overpriced at home against A and C teams; moderate value on the road.
3. Toronto Maple Leafs (A)
- Home vs. A: -132.2 (Great value, pricing implies tighter matchups).
- Home vs. C: -192.47 (Heavy favorite odds diminish value vs. weaker teams).
- Road vs. A: -105 (Excellent road value in A-type matchups).
- Takeaway: Best value lies in road matchups against A-type teams; home games can be pricey.
4. Colorado Avalanche (A)
- Home vs. A: -145.71 (Solid mid-range odds at home).
- Home vs. C: -204.54 (Significant overpricing against C-types).
- Road vs. C: -184.58 (Heavy odds diminish value as road favorites).
- Takeaway: Best value comes from home matchups against A and B teams.
5. Edmonton Oilers (A)
- Home vs. A: -167.2 (High pricing makes them expensive as home favorites).
- Home vs. C: -258.38 (Least value among all teams vs. C-types).
- Road vs. C: -210.15 (Still heavily priced).
- Takeaway: Limited value in most scenarios; highly priced across the board.
6. Dallas Stars (A)
- Home vs. A: -161.5 (Priced higher than competitors, reducing value).
- Home vs. C: -251.94 (Severe overpricing diminishes returns).
- Road vs. B: -123.33 (Affordable and competitive odds on the road).
- Takeaway: Road matchups against B and A teams provide the best opportunities.
7. Vegas Golden Knights (A)
- Home vs. A: -138.75 (Competitive odds for home matchups).
- Home vs. C: -202.27 (Similar trend of heavy pricing against C-types).
- Road vs. A: -120.75 (Outstanding value on the road in A-type matchups).
- Takeaway: Excellent road value against A-type teams; fair pricing at home.
General Trends
- Best Value for A-Type Teams:
- Road matchups against A-types (Vegas: -120.75, Toronto: -105).
- Home matchups against A-types, but only for mid-priced teams (Toronto, Winnipeg).
- Overvalued Scenarios:
- Home games against C-types are consistently overpriced across all teams.
- Edmonton and Dallas face the highest odds inflation, particularly at home vs. C-types.
- Teams to Watch:
- Vegas Golden Knights: Balanced pricing at home and exceptional value on the road.
- Toronto Maple Leafs: Strong road value against A-types.
Recommendations for Betting
- Target: Road matchups for A-type teams like Vegas and Toronto in competitive A-type games.
- Avoid: Betting on Edmonton or Dallas as heavy favorites, especially against weaker C-type opponents.
- Focus: On mid-range favorites (Winnipeg, Colorado) for value-driven home opportunities against A and B teams.
By leveraging these insights, bettors can identify and exploit value opportunities while avoiding overpriced scenarios.
