In this highly anticipated matchup on Saturday June 17th at BC Place in Vancouver, between the Edmonton Elks (45.5) and British Columbia Lions (-6.5), let's delve into an analysis of their recent stats to understand the potential betting trends. These insights could potentially provide bettors with a significant edge.
Edmonton Elks (45.5) – Road Team)
Against The Spread (ATS) Edge:
Edmonton has been strong against the spread (ATS) when the total is between 44.5 to 47, boasting a record of 16-11-0. Their performance is also notably strong when coming off a loss (9-4-0) ATS. When Edmonton is a road underdog, their ATS record is impressive (10-5-0), significantly outperforming the league average.
Over/Under (O/U) Edge:
When it comes to the Over/Under markets, Edmonton tends to lean towards the Over when the total is between 44.5 to 47 (17-9-1), against a Division Opponent (7-4-0), and when they allowed 14-21 Points Against in the Last Game (24-20-2). However, they have a distinct Under tendency during the month of June (3-11-0) and when coming off a 4 points loss (3-1-0).
British Columbia Lions (-6.5) – Home Team)
Against The Spread (ATS) Edge:
For the BC Lions, they've struggled ATS in most situations but have had success when playing as Home Favorite (8-6-0).
Over/Under (O/U) Edge:
The BC Lions lean towards the Over when playing against Division Opponents (8-5-0) and against Edmonton (22-19-2). However, they've shown a strong Under tendency in the month of June (6-8-0), when playing against a Western Division Opponent (0-0-0), after a winning streak (22-29-2), after a win (59-61-5), and during Week 1 to 4 (21-26-2).
Final Takeaway:
For bettors looking at the spread, the Edmonton Elks seem to be a more promising bet, especially if they are the underdog. For those interested in the Over/Under market, there is a more mixed picture. The under might be a good consideration, given the consistent under trend for both teams in June. However, also bear in mind that games involving these two teams (and Edmonton games more generally) tend to lean towards the Over.
As always, while statistical analysis can help identify trends and potential advantages, it doesn't guarantee outcomes. Be sure to consider a wide range of information and remember to gamble responsibly.